Tonight's non-farm payroll data release is another critical moment for the crypto market. Traders face a very real choice: to position early and grab chips or to clear their positions and wait and see?
Honestly, around major data releases, the market acts like a magnifying glass, amplifying emotional fluctuations infinitely. The unemployment rate is expected to be 4.4%, but once the data is out, no one dares to guarantee how it will move. The usual pattern in previous years is this: if unemployment exceeds expectations—Bitcoin might actually surge; if the data beats expectations—crypto prices could sharply decline again. Bulls and bears take turns harvesting, and those chasing the highs and selling the lows are most likely to get caught in the middle.
The lessons of history are clear. Before and after important data releases, the market often experiences intense volatility, sometimes even reversing multiple times. Many experienced traders choose to reduce their positions before the data is released, preferring to miss some opportunities rather than get caught in a "double kill." Once the direction is confirmed and signals are clear, they act, making risk more manageable.
But remember, economic data is only a short-term disturbance factor. Bitcoin's long-term trend still depends on ETF capital inflows, macro policy directions, and other fundamentals. So rather than trading frequently, it's better to stay rational, prepare your ammunition, and wait until the trend is truly clear before taking action.
What do you think about tonight's market? Planning to position or stay on the sidelines? Share your thoughts.
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ZenMiner
· 12-16 13:52
Things like non-farm payrolls are truly Schrödinger's crypto prices; until the data is released, everyone is just guessing. I choose to stay flat; anyway, any fluctuations just mean getting cut.
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DefiPlaybook
· 12-16 13:38
According to historical data, the average fluctuation range before and after non-farm payrolls reaches ±3.2%. This time, the expected value of 4.4% seems stable, but it is worth noting that on-chain data shows that the position changes of large holders in the past 72 hours are worth monitoring. It is recommended to adopt the following strategy: keep the main position on hold, prepare 30% of ammunition and wait for clear signals. It's better to miss this wave than to be double-killed and harvested. From historical statistics, the probability of non-farm payroll data deviating from expectations is as high as 68%.
Tonight's non-farm payroll data release is another critical moment for the crypto market. Traders face a very real choice: to position early and grab chips or to clear their positions and wait and see?
Honestly, around major data releases, the market acts like a magnifying glass, amplifying emotional fluctuations infinitely. The unemployment rate is expected to be 4.4%, but once the data is out, no one dares to guarantee how it will move. The usual pattern in previous years is this: if unemployment exceeds expectations—Bitcoin might actually surge; if the data beats expectations—crypto prices could sharply decline again. Bulls and bears take turns harvesting, and those chasing the highs and selling the lows are most likely to get caught in the middle.
The lessons of history are clear. Before and after important data releases, the market often experiences intense volatility, sometimes even reversing multiple times. Many experienced traders choose to reduce their positions before the data is released, preferring to miss some opportunities rather than get caught in a "double kill." Once the direction is confirmed and signals are clear, they act, making risk more manageable.
But remember, economic data is only a short-term disturbance factor. Bitcoin's long-term trend still depends on ETF capital inflows, macro policy directions, and other fundamentals. So rather than trading frequently, it's better to stay rational, prepare your ammunition, and wait until the trend is truly clear before taking action.
What do you think about tonight's market? Planning to position or stay on the sidelines? Share your thoughts.