#美联储降息 Gold Market Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy

Yesterday early morning, a long position was established at 4285, with the highest profit reaching 4310 before exiting. Subsequently, a reverse trade encountered a waterfall decline. Currently, all focus is on non-farm payroll data, as such major economic indicators often trigger rapid reversals in gold prices.

From a technical perspective, after a significant decline yesterday, gold's rebound was weak, and the key psychological level of 4300 has not been successfully reclaimed. During the Asian and European sessions, prices oscillated within a narrow range, and sharp volatility is likely around the non-farm release. The daily chart shows signs of increasing bearish candles, and the RSI indicator has turned downward, all indicating a bearish advantage.

The short-term strategy is to short around the 4300-4305 zone, with the first target at 4270. If the non-farm data ultimately favors the dollar, then follow the trend and short towards 4260. Conversely, if the data is bearish for the dollar, and gold breaks above 4305 resistance, temporarily avoid short positions and wait until 4315 to decide on the trading direction. Always set stop-loss orders for short-term trades.