【The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in March next year has increased after non-farm payrolls】


December 16th, according to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a total cut of 25 basis points by March next year is 44.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 46.1%, and the probability of a total cut of 50 basis points is 9.5%.
Before non-farm payrolls, according to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 75.6%. The probability of a total cut of 25 basis points by March next year is 42.4%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 49%, and the probability of a total cut of 50 basis points is 8.6%.
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