The latest US non-farm payroll data just came out, and the numbers seem a bit "divided"—only 64,000 new jobs, yet the unemployment rate actually jumped to 4.6%. At first glance, it looks like bad news, but the market is sensing a different vibe.
Why does this seemingly ordinary report catch traders' attention? The key lies in the rising unemployment rate. It sounds counterintuitive, but for the Federal Reserve, this is exactly the "soft landing" signal they desire. Employment isn't as strong as before, but it hasn't collapsed either; the economy is cooling down gradually rather than crashing rapidly. This pace provides the central bank with reasonable room to cut interest rates. The tightening cycle is loosening.
The current question is: how will this impact the crypto market? The answer points to liquidity. Once the rate cut expectations heat up, the loose monetary environment will reemerge. Risk assets like BTC, ETH, and BNB are often beneficiaries—when returns from traditional investments decline, funds naturally seek more imaginative opportunities. Loose policies are like a shot of adrenaline for the market.
But don't be overly optimistic. One non-farm report can't change the overall picture; future inflation trends and the Fed's true stance are variables. However, this report at least sends a clear signal: the policy direction in 2025 might really be changing. For those closely watching the market, this is a key point to remember.
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PositionPhobia
· 12-16 20:30
As the expectation of interest rate cuts arises, I start to get itchy hands and need to hold back.
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GhostAddressMiner
· 12-16 14:52
64,000 new jobs, can you believe this data? It seems more like a smokescreen to cover up large-scale fund transfers.
The moment expectations of interest rate cuts heat up, those dormant wallets on the chain start to move. I have already marked several suspicious addresses.
The inflow footprints of BTC and ETH into exchanges tell everything. Don't buy into the "soft landing" story.
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AllInAlice
· 12-16 14:50
Soft landing? Ha, the Fed might really be serious this time.
Rate cuts are coming, and funds should find a place to go.
Adding 64,000 new jobs—this number is really hard to believe.
Let's wait and see how BTC reacts; liquidity easing is the real show.
It's another "node" and "signal," but this time it feels different.
An increase in the unemployment rate is actually good news? The market is truly surreal.
Don't be fooled by the non-farm payrolls; the Fed's attitude is the real trump card.
Expectations of rate cuts, once they heat up, can't be stopped.
When funds can't find a place, they will inevitably flow into the crypto space; the logic checks out.
This time really feels different; it seems 2025 will bring a big change.
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Blockblind
· 12-16 14:41
The narrative of a soft landing always feels a bit off.
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OnchainHolmes
· 12-16 14:28
I'm tired of hearing stories about soft landings; I'm just waiting to see when the central bank will really take action.
The latest US non-farm payroll data just came out, and the numbers seem a bit "divided"—only 64,000 new jobs, yet the unemployment rate actually jumped to 4.6%. At first glance, it looks like bad news, but the market is sensing a different vibe.
Why does this seemingly ordinary report catch traders' attention? The key lies in the rising unemployment rate. It sounds counterintuitive, but for the Federal Reserve, this is exactly the "soft landing" signal they desire. Employment isn't as strong as before, but it hasn't collapsed either; the economy is cooling down gradually rather than crashing rapidly. This pace provides the central bank with reasonable room to cut interest rates. The tightening cycle is loosening.
The current question is: how will this impact the crypto market? The answer points to liquidity. Once the rate cut expectations heat up, the loose monetary environment will reemerge. Risk assets like BTC, ETH, and BNB are often beneficiaries—when returns from traditional investments decline, funds naturally seek more imaginative opportunities. Loose policies are like a shot of adrenaline for the market.
But don't be overly optimistic. One non-farm report can't change the overall picture; future inflation trends and the Fed's true stance are variables. However, this report at least sends a clear signal: the policy direction in 2025 might really be changing. For those closely watching the market, this is a key point to remember.