Many people ask me how to stay calm during this round of crypto market rebound. Honestly, over the past few years in the crypto space, I've seen many stories—those who lose are ten times more than those who profit. The core issue is actually simple—most people lack a reusable system.

First, let's talk about capital allocation, which is fundamental. My approach is to divide the principal into five equal parts, and only move one part at a time. The obvious benefit of this is risk control. Set a hard stop-loss at 10 points; at most, you lose 2% of your total funds per trade. To put it another way, even if you make five wrong trades in a row, you only lose 10% of your principal. But just one correct trade with a take-profit target of over 10 points can turn your profit around. This ratio ensures you won't be eliminated by the market in the long run.

The key to a high win rate is to follow the trend. Don’t go against the big trend—that’s the most common death trap for retail traders. During a downtrend, those rebounds are essentially traps set by the big players to lure in traders; conversely, every pullback in an uptrend is a real buying opportunity. This logic must be ingrained in your mind.

The logic for selecting coins is also simple and straightforward. Avoid coins that have surged wildly in the short term, no matter how strong or mainstream they are. Coins that have already experienced a few major upward waves are rare; since they’ve already skyrocketed, expecting them to keep rising? Reality will teach you a harsh lesson. When a coin is stuck at a high level and can't move up, it must fall—that's the most ironclad rule of the market.

For technical analysis, MACD is enough; don’t overcomplicate it. Just watch for the golden cross and death cross of DIF and DEA—when the MACD crosses above zero, it’s a buy signal; when it crosses below zero, reduce your position and cut losses immediately. Many people get confused by a bunch of indicators; simplicity and effectiveness are the way to go.

The two most damaging words for retail traders are "averaging down" and "locking in positions." Those who keep adding when they’re losing are close to liquidation. The bottom line is clear: never add to a losing position; only add when you’re making profits—that’s the iron law. Psychological discipline often determines the final account balance.

The relationship between volume and price may seem simple, but it’s actually the key to trading. When a low-level consolidation suddenly breaks out with high volume, pay close attention; conversely, if volume is high but the price doesn’t move up, that’s the most dangerous signal—get out quickly. Many traders have fallen into this trap.

The same logic applies to ETH analysis. Only trade coins in an uptrend, and your win rate will naturally improve. A 3-day moving average turning upward indicates a short-term opportunity; a 30-day moving average turning upward signals a medium-term trend; an 84-day moving average turning upward suggests the main upward wave may be starting; a 120-day moving average turning upward means the long-term direction is stable. The resonance of multiple timeframes is the most reliable.

Coins like SOL and ZEC also fit this framework. During market rebounds, don’t blindly follow the trend; first observe what trend they are in, then see if the technical signals support it. Many people do the opposite, and the results are naturally poor.

After each trade, a review is essential—this is the fastest way to grow. Check if your position logic has changed, whether the weekly K-line is correct, and if the overall trend has shifted. Strategies must be adjusted constantly; stubbornness won’t last long in the crypto space.

Ultimately, this system isn’t mysterious; it’s about discipline and patience. If you can truly implement these principles, not only will you stay steady during market rebounds, but long-term profits will be well within reach.