#以太坊行情技术解读 Non-farm unemployment data just came out, and the market is a bit confused by this wave of data—seems positive but actually hiding pitfalls.
Let's look at the big picture first: US stock futures opened high, and the two-year US Treasury yield plummeted. The logic behind this is that, after several months of less-than-ideal employment data, traders are starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy. It sounds quite positive, but can this expectation really materialize? That remains to be seen.
Honestly, the Fed's 30% rate cut expectation in January has long faded away. The unemployment rate indicator also shows little improvement. You see, the numbers looked good for a moment but then fell back—this is a false breakout. The trap here is that many people only focus on the surface data without understanding the underlying essence, resulting in chasing highs and getting caught.
Speaking of the market situation: Bitcoin staying above 87,300 is indeed awkward. Bears dare not act, and bulls lack confidence. Just like the analysis during the European session, this kind of oscillation often causes you to miss the best entry points. Ethereum presents a short opportunity at 2950, which still offers some room for short-term operations.
The probability of US stocks opening lower tonight is quite high. The current market is just oscillating around. It's still important to stick to the intraday trading framework, with the core being strict position control—don't let volatility shake you out.
Only those who can maintain a consistent trading rhythm won't be shaken out by market noise. $BTC $ETH
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
14 Likes
Reward
14
4
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
ContractSurrender
· 12-16 15:19
Chasing high and getting trapped is what I hate the most. When the data looks good, I get excited, but it turns out to be a false breakout.
Stick to the framework and strictly control the position size—that's the only way to survive.
The 87300 level is really awkward; neither bulls nor bears have the strength. I'm just waiting for it to choose a direction.
Fake breakouts do a lot of harm; you need to learn to see through the surface tricks.
The rhythm must be steady; don't get thrown off by market tricks. This is a painful lesson I learned.
View OriginalReply0
TradFiRefugee
· 12-16 15:18
It's another false breakout; this time, it still depends on the Federal Reserve's stance.
View OriginalReply0
BrokenDAO
· 12-16 15:17
It's another data trap; the market is playing hot potato. Those who chase the high are always the last to take over, and this wave is no exception.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSurvivor
· 12-16 15:17
Once again, it's this kind of data trap, and the FOMO traders are about to cry again.
#以太坊行情技术解读 Non-farm unemployment data just came out, and the market is a bit confused by this wave of data—seems positive but actually hiding pitfalls.
Let's look at the big picture first: US stock futures opened high, and the two-year US Treasury yield plummeted. The logic behind this is that, after several months of less-than-ideal employment data, traders are starting to bet that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy. It sounds quite positive, but can this expectation really materialize? That remains to be seen.
Honestly, the Fed's 30% rate cut expectation in January has long faded away. The unemployment rate indicator also shows little improvement. You see, the numbers looked good for a moment but then fell back—this is a false breakout. The trap here is that many people only focus on the surface data without understanding the underlying essence, resulting in chasing highs and getting caught.
Speaking of the market situation: Bitcoin staying above 87,300 is indeed awkward. Bears dare not act, and bulls lack confidence. Just like the analysis during the European session, this kind of oscillation often causes you to miss the best entry points. Ethereum presents a short opportunity at 2950, which still offers some room for short-term operations.
The probability of US stocks opening lower tonight is quite high. The current market is just oscillating around. It's still important to stick to the intraday trading framework, with the core being strict position control—don't let volatility shake you out.
Only those who can maintain a consistent trading rhythm won't be shaken out by market noise. $BTC $ETH