After the release of the latest US employment data, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have significantly increased. According to the data feedback, the probability of a rate cut in January next year has risen from 22% to 31%, and a total of two rate cuts are still widely expected in 2026, with the full-year easing potentially reaching 58 basis points.
What does this data imply? In simple terms, liquidity expectations are still present, and macroeconomic pressures are gradually easing. For the cryptocurrency market, the rate cut cycle is often accompanied by capital flows into high-growth assets — including digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. When central banks release liquidity, investors tend to seek investments that offer higher returns.
From a technical perspective, the expectation of loose liquidity combined with the continued inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs creates a dual-force drive. Market participants are already positioning themselves in advance, awaiting the next narrative development. For traders focused on macro trends, seizing the opportunity early is often more crucial than waiting for the market to fully react.
(The above is for reference only. Please conduct your own research for investment decisions.)
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RektCoaster
· 12-16 15:44
The rate cut expectations are at their peak, and now they're starting to spin stories again. Who's going to take over this time?
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RugPullSurvivor
· 12-16 15:43
The rate cut expectation is at its maximum, is it time to buy the dip?
Liquidity is coming, BTC is about to take off again...
31% probability is not enough, just worried that the Federal Reserve will cause some surprises again
The easing margin of 58bp sounds like a lot, but maybe not as much as you think
Early movers are making a fortune, latecomers still get caught
This time really is different, but it's still the old tricks, who knows
Funds move towards high growth, and then, another wave of retail investors gets sliced
Waiting for the market to fully react is too late, stop-loss orders have already been triggered
58 basis points sound intimidating, but actually implementing it in practice is already good enough
Another story of "this time is different," played out in cycles...
Dual-wheel driving sounds powerful, but I'm afraid only one round has started
Macro conditions are good, but on-chain data is the real deal; don’t just focus on rate cuts
If rates cut and prices still fall this time, it’s time to rethink the market logic
Spot ETF inflows vs. macro expectations, which one carries more weight?
31% turning into 58 basis points, is it just a numbers game or real money?
Having been caught once, I am more cautious this time
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SchrodingerPrivateKey
· 12-16 15:35
Expectations of interest rate cuts are heating up, is liquidity coming? Then you'd better jump on quickly.
Wait, is it a bit late to enter now... Has it already gone up a round?
Alright, let's see if BTC can break through that level, anyway, the idle funds have already been invested.
Can the interest rate cut cycle really save the crypto world? It feels like that's what they say every time.
58 basis points sounds nice, but how much of it actually flows into crypto?
After the release of the latest US employment data, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have significantly increased. According to the data feedback, the probability of a rate cut in January next year has risen from 22% to 31%, and a total of two rate cuts are still widely expected in 2026, with the full-year easing potentially reaching 58 basis points.
What does this data imply? In simple terms, liquidity expectations are still present, and macroeconomic pressures are gradually easing. For the cryptocurrency market, the rate cut cycle is often accompanied by capital flows into high-growth assets — including digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. When central banks release liquidity, investors tend to seek investments that offer higher returns.
From a technical perspective, the expectation of loose liquidity combined with the continued inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs creates a dual-force drive. Market participants are already positioning themselves in advance, awaiting the next narrative development. For traders focused on macro trends, seizing the opportunity early is often more crucial than waiting for the market to fully react.
(The above is for reference only. Please conduct your own research for investment decisions.)