A central banker's recent essay raises a critical point: if the Fed continues slashing interest rates, monetary policy could edge into accommodative territory. And that's where things get thorny for inflation control.



The argument goes like this—push rates down too aggressively, and you risk losing your grip on inflation expectations. Markets start pricing in persistent price pressure. Once inflation psychology shifts, it becomes a headache to reset expectations later on.

This thinking matters for anyone tracking the macro backdrop behind crypto volatility. Rate decisions ripple through all asset classes. When policymakers signal caution about further cuts, it often signals they're worried about stoking inflation rather than fighting deflation. That's a different regime entirely.

The core tension here is real: keep rates higher to anchor inflation expectations, or cut to support growth and credit conditions. One path favors asset stability; the other fuels expansion but risks overshooting on prices.

For market participants, this signals the Fed's internal debate is shifting. Less emphasis on recession prevention, more focus on maintaining price credibility. That calculus shapes everything from yields to alternative assets over coming quarters.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 8
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
RealYieldWizardvip
· 1h ago
Basically, the Federal Reserve is playing psychological warfare. If they cut interest rates too much, inflation expectations will collapse, but if they don't cut, they're afraid of hurting the economy. This game of chess is indeed difficult to play.
View OriginalReply0
orphaned_blockvip
· 8h ago
Basically, the Fed is playing with fire. If they cut interest rates too aggressively, inflation expectations will be gone, and by then, they won't be able to pull back.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-6bc33122vip
· 17h ago
Basically, the Fed is playing with fire. If they cut interest rates too aggressively, inflation expectations will collapse. At that point, it will be very difficult to reverse the situation, and the crypto market will be caught in the crossfire.
View OriginalReply0
LoneValidatorvip
· 12-16 20:27
That's why the crypto world is so competitive now—every move by the Federal Reserve affects everything... --- Cutting interest rates too aggressively, inflation is rising again. The Fed is playing with fire. --- Oh my, are they going to re-anchor expectations again? How deep does this pit need to be dug before it can be filled? --- Basically, the Federal Reserve is now gambling—whether to stabilize inflation or to maintain growth. You really can't have both. --- Is price credibility more important than preventing recession? Seems like it has shifted.
View OriginalReply0
TokenUnlockervip
· 12-16 20:26
Basically, the Fed is walking a tightrope, afraid of inflation returning on one hand, while trying to maintain growth on the other... It's really a tough spot.
View OriginalReply0
WhaleWatchervip
· 12-16 20:07
Basically, the Federal Reserve is gambling. If they cut interest rates too much, inflation will take off; if they don't cut, they're afraid the economy will collapse. The crypto circle is just playing psychological warfare along with these people.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)