If Bitcoin closes 2025 in red, what's the probability it'll finish 2026 red as well? History suggests it's unlikely—BTC has never posted two consecutive years of losses. That said, past performance doesn't guarantee future results. The market has pulled surprises before: Bitcoin reached all-time highs before halvings when it "shouldn't" have, and altseason somehow never gets fully skipped. So while the odds favor a recovery year in 2026, nothing's written in stone. The crypto cycle remains full of possibilities.