2025-12-17 00:10:39

#美联储降息 Bitcoin Morning Market Analysis

Currently, the market momentum is weak, and it is clearly entering a consolidation phase. From the daily chart, the candlesticks are operating within the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, and the market is gradually opening up, indicating the beginning of a bearish trend. On the four-hour chart, the three Bollinger Bands are aligned downward, showing a strong bearish sentiment. Last night, the price rebounded to near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands but was suppressed and fell back, indicating that the short-term rebound strength is limited—there is a high probability of continued decline next.

$BTC Technical Trading Recommendations:
Bearish Range 88000-88500
Target below 86500

BTC0,27%

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NotSatoshi

· 2025-12-20 00:09

It's another script of bearish suppression. I'm tired of the Bollinger Bands' three-line setup. Wait, why is it still falling after the rate cut? This logic feels a bit twisted. The short-term rebound is limited; this sounds like a warning not to buy the dip, which makes me want to buy even more. 86500, got it. Remember that. We'll see if it really drops to that level. It feels like this wave of Bitcoin is just wearing down everyone's patience.

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MEVVictimAlliance

· 2025-12-18 21:07

Once again suppressed by the bears, breaking through the 88 level is really difficult.

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ProxyCollector

· 2025-12-17 00:39

The Bollinger Bands are starting to tell stories again. Can the 88000 level really hold? Feels like it's already broken long ago. --- Nonsense about a strong bear market. Every time they say that, the market reverses and rises again. Who believes it and who gets fooled? --- 86500? Dream on. The limited rebound strength is just to accumulate energy for the next upward move. --- Here we go again. I can interpret charts too, but the question is, can I be accurate? Haha. --- It's a bit far-fetched to look at technicals without considering Federal Reserve policies. The macro environment hasn't changed. --- What does it mean if it was suppressed and fell back last night? Don't take it too seriously; it was just one night. --- If it really hits 86500, I’ll just liquidate everything. This level feels like there’s no support. --- The market is indeed weak, but we've seen this kind of analysis many times. Let’s wait until a breakout before making judgments. --- The Bollinger Bands have been like this for a whole year. Maybe try adjusting the parameters? --- The bearish trend is emerging, and the rebound strength is limited. I'm tired of hearing this line.

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fork_in_the_road

· 2025-12-17 00:38

The Bollinger Bands are starting to squeeze again. Does this rhythm feel familiar? Haha The bears are so fierce, I still need to wait for a breakdown confirmation before taking action. I'm watching the 88000 level, hoping it can hold steady. The weak rebound is really frustrating. When will we see a decent rebound? Will we see 86500? I still think there's a chance.

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ImpermanentLossFan

· 2025-12-17 00:37

Wait a minute, the Bollinger Bands are like this, and we're still expecting a rebound? Just crash it directly.

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IntrovertMetaverse

· 2025-12-17 00:35

It's starting to fall again, this pace is really incredible.

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GasDevourer

· 2025-12-17 00:31

Is it going to drop again and again? I've been hearing you guys say it for a month haha --- The middle band of the Bollinger Bands has been pushed back, is the bear market really about to start? --- See you at 86,500. If it can't break through, it's still a rebound. --- I bet five dollars that it will break through the 88,000-88,500 range. --- Why is the Federal Reserve's rate cut still green? I really can't understand this logic. --- With such strong bearish sentiment, I feel like it's time to buy the dip again. --- Consolidation, consolidation, until the end of time, right? --- Honestly, I'm just waiting to see if it can drop to 86,500; otherwise, it's all pointless. --- Is the rebound limited? You guys said the same last time. --- If there's not enough momentum, then there's not enough momentum. Anyway, I can't run away from it.

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LiquidityWizard

· 2025-12-17 00:28

theoretically speaking, if the bollinger bands are compressing this hard, we're basically looking at a volatility collapse scenario... statistically significant rejection at the midline suggests 71% probability of continuation lower, but contrary to popular belief, these "consolidation phases" actually present the most asymmetric risk-reward setups if you bother running the correlation analysis

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