Recently, I have been monitoring the trends of several key cryptocurrencies and discovered an interesting phenomenon. BTC around 86,638, ETH at 2,835, and SOL at 132.9—these levels are not chosen arbitrarily.



What is the common feature of these points? They serve as technical support levels and also happen to correspond to the cost basis lines for many spot institutional investors. The fear of breaking these levels among institutional investors is actually deeper than that of retail traders.

The market is often most panicked when opportunities arise. At that time, the sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish, and the market was continuously pessimistic. However, through continuous monitoring, I observed a divergence between panic sentiment and technical signals. The institutions' defense near these cost basis lines was particularly strong—that’s the signal.

Based on this, I developed a trading strategy: clear entry logic, strict stop-loss settings, and pre-planned profit-taking in batches. In execution, this means reasonable position allocation, avoiding all-in, and leaving room for pullbacks. Risk control is especially critical—24-hour monitoring of liquidation risks and abnormal volatility.

The core of this approach is to reduce emotional interference. Set the rules rigidly, make execution transparent, allow unrealized gains to settle, and prevent pullbacks from breaking your defenses. Trading is not about intuition but about systems.
BTC1,84%
ETH1,47%
SOL2,94%
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SadMoneyMeowvip
· 2025-12-17 23:07
Reliable analysis, but I looked at the chart at the 86638 level and feel that institutional support isn't as strong as it seems. Institutional panic? Haha, they might be dumping their holdings, don't overthink it. Honestly, risk control is indeed the most important. Those who went all in haven't made it this far. This logic sounds like a post-hoc rationalization; when it comes to critical moments, panic still sets in. What if the support level breaks? Is your defense really unbreakable?
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Ser_APY_2000vip
· 2025-12-17 03:50
The idea of the institutional cost line isn't bad, but to be honest, I always get nervous when entering during a bearish phase. I need to work on my patience and mental state.
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NewPumpamentalsvip
· 2025-12-17 03:49
Institutions are defending these levels so aggressively, which definitely indicates something. It shows that the bottom consensus is still there. Speaking of which, systematic trading is more reliable than relying on intuition. As long as risk management is in place, there's no need to fear a pullback. If BTC really breaks below this wave, then it would be a nightmare. Let's see if institutions will continue to scoop up the dip. People who are all-in should probably be crying now, haha.
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PumpDoctrinevip
· 2025-12-17 03:47
Wow, I've thought about the institutional cost line logic before, but there are very few who can truly stick to disciplined execution... To put it simply, it's about not being greedy, system > intuition, I agree with that. Monitoring the market 24/7 is indeed exhausting, but after all, this is what we do.
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