#预测市场发展 Reflecting on the market cycles I have witnessed over the years, the prediction that Bitcoin will rise again to $100,000 inevitably brings to mind the bull market at the end of 2017. At that time, the market was also filled with optimism, but was followed by a long bear market. Currently, the 50% forecast probability on Polymarket reflects investors' divided opinions on future trends. History shows that markets always swing between euphoria and panic. Regardless of predictions, staying rational and managing risks well are the keys to long-term survival. The future trajectory of Bitcoin will ultimately be validated by time. As veterans who have experienced multiple bull and bear cycles, we should seize the moment and patiently wait for the market to give clear signals.