2025-12-17 06:41:20

#大户持仓动态 Last night, as the non-farm payroll data was released, the market exploded. Bitcoin dropped from its high point all the way down, with a short-term rebound, Ethereum also showed some movement, and the US dollar was weakening. This set of data clearly indicates one issue—the economy is in recession, which instantly fueled expectations in the circle for the Fed to accelerate rate cuts. When the rate cut concept is hyped up, it can support the market in the short term—this is a very common tactic.

I mentioned in the chat yesterday noon that Bitcoin could consider shorting around 87,500. When the data was released early morning, the market indeed rebounded briefly, reaching a high of 81,100, and now it has fallen back to around 67,000, oscillating. This rebound, frankly, is just a short-term emotional reaction driven by the data. Looking at the market structure, the overall bearish trend hasn't changed. If you previously entered short positions, holding onto them is still fine.

However, it must be said that although the non-farm payroll data triggered this wave of reaction, the market is still stuck in a consolidation range without breaking out. Today's strategy is mainly—wait and see, sell some when prices go higher, buy some when prices go lower, and trade lightly back and forth. $BTC

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ser_we_are_early

· 12-17 12:40

Haha, getting played again, always hyping concepts like this --- The 67,000震荡 is really annoying, when will it break through? --- Still holding short positions, betting on a recession as the main trend --- Is it enough to just expect rate cuts? I don’t believe you --- Trading with small positions is a skill, fingers trembling so fast --- This recent rebound from non-farm payrolls is a trap, looks good but actually useless --- A weakening dollar is a good thing, should Bitcoin go up now? --- Getting stuck in震荡 is the most annoying, when will it break 88,000? --- Those buying short positions are betting on a recession, feels a bit crazy --- Listening to "buy high, sell low" sounds simple, but actual trading makes blood pressure soar

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AllInAlice

· 12-17 12:30

Haha, this rebound is just a signal that the retail investors are taking the bait. Are you still chasing? --- 67000 fluctuates, I’ll wait for a breakdown before taking action --- The rate cut concept has been overhyped, wake up everyone --- I didn’t short yesterday, now I’m a bit regretful --- Keep a small position and tinker around, don’t expect to get rich overnight --- Playing the rate cut during an economic recession, this routine is really tired --- This Bitcoin movement is really unpredictable, better to stay on the sidelines --- Thinking about trading crypto just because the dollar is weakening? Come on --- Hold on to your short positions, the true test will come after a breakdown --- Daring to go all-in on short-term emotional reactions? I wouldn’t dare

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SleepyArbCat

· 12-17 07:11

This fluctuation of 67,000 is really suffocating, feels like sleepwalking... When it goes up, sell a bit; when it goes down, buy a little. It's a back-and-forth wool-harvesting activity. Let's wait until I wake up to talk about it.

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AirdropJunkie

· 12-17 07:03

Haha, still the same old trick, as soon as the data comes out, they start storytelling. Still volatile, this kind of market is the most annoying. The midday alert was definitely worth it; the short positions are still making gains. With such strong expectations of interest rate cuts, the next move will probably be choppy again. Light positions, just keep grinding like this. Watching to see if 67000 can hold, if not, continue downward. Non-farm payrolls are out, a wave of hype and then nothing.

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ZkProofPudding

· 12-17 06:59

It's the same old hype again. As soon as there's an expectation of interest rate cuts, the market surges. I don't believe you for a second. Bro, are you proud of that 87,500 short position now? I didn't chase after it. Range-bound trading is just a breeding ground for chopping up retail investors. Still trading lightly—aren't you tired? Wait, could the 67,000 level be a trap? Honestly, macro data like non-farm payrolls are just emotional tools for the crypto market.

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CryptoPunster

· 12-17 06:58

Haha, another story of a "big smart" preemptively and accurately bottoming out, laughing as they lose everything on this trade—really unbeatable. As soon as the non-farm data comes out, the market starts telling stories. I just sit here watching them make up stories. The rebound is a rebound, but why are we still trapped? Trading with a small position? Basically, it means you're out of money, I get it. Once thought I saw through the economic cycle, but it turned out I was being seen through by the cycle. Expectations of interest rate cuts are truly the last lifeline for retail investors. We'll talk about this again next year.

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UnruggableChad

· 12-17 06:52

87,500 wave indeed didn't keep up. Looking back now, I do feel a bit regretful. With recession and rate cut expectations, it's hard to say how long this round of hype can last. Fluctuating within the range, it just feels like a rhythm of harvesting the leeks.

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LiquidationSurvivor

· 12-17 06:46

Oh my, this rebound is really just a smokescreen. Continuing to be bearish is not wrong. How many times have we played this trick? Expectations of interest rate cuts can boost the market temporarily, but the trend hasn't changed. That move around 87,500 was definitely a shorting opportunity. Now it's just a matter of whether it can break below again. The volatility is too annoying. It's more comfortable to trade small positions back and forth. Don't be too greedy.

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StablecoinAnxiety

· 12-17 06:46

It's the same old trick again, as soon as they announce a rate cut, everyone blindly follows.

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