#以太坊行情解读 $ETH Ethereum's recent 4-hour trend has been quite interesting. From the low point at 4:00 PM on December 15th, it steadily climbed until 4:00 PM on the 16th, then hit a high at 8:00 PM that evening, followed by a reversal downward, ending with a bearish candle. This kind of resistance at the highs definitely warrants attention.
The trading volume is quite disappointing—it's clearly shrinking over the past few hours. Looking at price and volume together, both buyers and sellers are in a wait-and-see mode, and the market atmosphere feels a bit cold, with both bulls and bears brewing their next moves.
From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD histogram is still in the negative zone, but the bars are gradually getting shorter, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening. Bulls are starting to show some signs of readiness. The KDJ indicator shows an oversold condition (value only 19), but currently, there's no golden cross or death cross, so the market is still searching for direction.
**Key levels to watch:**
Support: 2872.0 is the recent strong bottom line, with the next support at 2924.11. If you want to short, place your stop-loss at 2909.49.
Resistance: 3190.0 is the current main resistance level, with the overhead high at 3242.59. For short positions, the stop-loss can be set at 3258.8.
The current active trading range is basically oscillating between 2924.11 and 3242.59. Based on the current technical pattern, if Ethereum can hold above 2872 and break through 3190 with increased volume, a new upward move could be on the horizon. Conversely, if it falls below 2872, the bears might continue to push the price lower.
The key now is when trading volume will recover—this is the core factor that will determine the next direction.
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StablecoinArbitrageur
· 12-17 10:19
actually, volume compression before a breakout is textbook stuff—but here's what nobody talks about: the liquidity depth at 2872 is paper thin. ran some backtesting (n=5000 bars), and whenever MACD histogram oscillates like this with sub-20 KDJ, you're basically watching order book manipulation waiting to happen.
Reply0
LiquidatedNotStirred
· 12-17 08:39
The volume has shrunk so much, who dares to take over? It still feels like we're waiting for a direction.
View OriginalReply0
UnluckyLemur
· 12-17 08:38
It's time to check the volume again. No volume, no breakthrough. This wave is really stuck.
View OriginalReply0
LightningSentry
· 12-17 08:36
The shrinking trading volume is the most heartbreaking; both bulls and bears are pretending to be dead.
Anything said before the volume picks up is pointless.
If 2872 breaks, it's a direct signal to go short. This rally is clearly lacking strength.
Watching cautiously... waiting for a volume signal.
This back-and-forth tug-of-war, no one should rush.
View OriginalReply0
LiquiditySurfer
· 12-17 08:21
The market shrinking means just waiting for the wind to blow; only after breaking 3190 do I dare to move.
No, what if it drops below 2872? Will it just get smashed through?
Damn, if this MACD shows a death cross, I'm out. Can't afford to gamble.
KDJ is only at 19, super oversold? Still holding on.
The 3190 resistance level feels very solid. Is there a big chance of breaking through this time, everyone?
View OriginalReply0
MEVHunter
· 12-17 08:17
Market contraction is the real problem, everything else is just talk. Wait until volume picks up.
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It's that same pattern of resistance during a rally, I'm tired of hearing it. It’s more reliable to watch the movements of big players in the mempool.
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KDJ oversold at 19? I’ve been familiar with this data since the flash loan arbitrage days, nothing new.
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Is 2872 really a strong support? I want to see if it drops below after the gas war starts—that’s the real test of true value.
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Every time they say "bull and bear brewing," but it’s easier to just look at on-chain transfer data.
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I already set the 3190 resistance level in the arbitrage bot, just waiting for the volume to surge.
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Still talking about technical indicators? Directly translating the MEV mechanism is where the real profit lies, everyone.
View OriginalReply0
GasWaster69
· 12-17 08:15
The issue of shrinking volume is really annoying, both bulls and bears are just sulking, waiting to see who makes the first move.
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I think the recent surge being blocked looks a bit fake; without volume support, it's just a paper tiger.
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As long as 2872 isn't broken, I won't panic. If it breaks, we can talk then.
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KDJ oversold to 19 and still no signal? The market is really just zoning out.
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Basically, we're waiting for trading volume to recover. Right now, guessing the market is purely gambling.
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Breaking through this 3190 hurdle is the interesting part; right now, it's just repeated testing.
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Honestly, I just want to see when the trading volume will bounce back; without that, everything else is just talk.
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Are the bulls itching to move? I don't believe you. First, let's see what the volume says.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketMonk
· 12-17 08:14
The most annoying thing about shrinking volume is waiting to see who breaks first.
Wait, can this 3190 hold steady? It feels risky.
It's oversold again, and there's a restless urge to move, still a bit afraid of being cut.
If that 2872 defense line really breaks, I think it will be very bad.
It feels like now it's just a gamble on whether the volume can come back; if it can't, just continue to lie flat.
The pattern of hitting a high and facing resistance has been seen too many times; who dares to chase the rally now?
#以太坊行情解读 $ETH Ethereum's recent 4-hour trend has been quite interesting. From the low point at 4:00 PM on December 15th, it steadily climbed until 4:00 PM on the 16th, then hit a high at 8:00 PM that evening, followed by a reversal downward, ending with a bearish candle. This kind of resistance at the highs definitely warrants attention.
The trading volume is quite disappointing—it's clearly shrinking over the past few hours. Looking at price and volume together, both buyers and sellers are in a wait-and-see mode, and the market atmosphere feels a bit cold, with both bulls and bears brewing their next moves.
From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD histogram is still in the negative zone, but the bars are gradually getting shorter, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening. Bulls are starting to show some signs of readiness. The KDJ indicator shows an oversold condition (value only 19), but currently, there's no golden cross or death cross, so the market is still searching for direction.
**Key levels to watch:**
Support: 2872.0 is the recent strong bottom line, with the next support at 2924.11. If you want to short, place your stop-loss at 2909.49.
Resistance: 3190.0 is the current main resistance level, with the overhead high at 3242.59. For short positions, the stop-loss can be set at 3258.8.
The current active trading range is basically oscillating between 2924.11 and 3242.59. Based on the current technical pattern, if Ethereum can hold above 2872 and break through 3190 with increased volume, a new upward move could be on the horizon. Conversely, if it falls below 2872, the bears might continue to push the price lower.
The key now is when trading volume will recover—this is the core factor that will determine the next direction.