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#数字资产市场洞察 LUNA has fallen nearly 20% from its high on Monday and is now stuck at $0.127, recently fluctuating between $0.13 and $0.14.
The previous logic that holding between $0.15 and $0.16 would be bullish has now been essentially discredited. Trading sentiment has clearly cooled down, and the atmosphere is becoming more bearish.
What does the technical analysis say? The 3-day chart still shows some bullish signs, but LUNA has a bit of a bad habit of doing "false breakouts" historically, so whether it can truly rebound remains uncertain. On the 4-hour chart, it's much clearer: if the $0.15-$0.18 range can't be held, the bears currently have the upper hand.
The key questions now are: can $0.13 hold? can $0.155 be reclaimed? Before a larger timeframe shows strength and $BTC stabilizes above $94,000, the probability of LUNA directly surging to $0.20-$0.24 is not high.
**Short-term trading advice: bearish strategies are safer.** If you're aggressive and want to short, wait for a failed rebound before taking action; if you're bullish, it's better to be patient and wait until those key levels are truly reclaimed before acting.