HBAR Price Prediction 2025: Is the current $0.112 a value zone or a downtrend continuation?

As of December 17, 2025, the price of Hedera (HBAR) has fallen to around $0.112, significantly down from its high at the beginning of the year. Its circulating market cap is approximately $4.7 billion, ranking 23rd in the global cryptocurrency market.

The “Fear and Greed Index” remains in the low range, reflecting widespread cautious sentiment among investors. HBAR’s recent performance has been particularly weak: down 18% over the past 7 days, down 26% over the past 30 days, and a sharp decline of 61% over the past year.

01 Deep Correction: Price Trajectory from Year-to-Date Highs

In mid-January 2025, HBAR reached an intra-year high of $0.375, after which it entered a prolonged downtrend. Since January, the price has fallen over 70%, completely erasing its early-year gains.

From a technical perspective, the price has broken through multiple key support levels and is currently oscillating in a weak zone between $0.110 and $0.115. Such a significant decline typically indicates extremely pessimistic market sentiment and heavy selling pressure.

In the current bear market sentiment, it is important to distinguish between short-term emotional fluctuations and long-term value changes. Market data shows that despite the continuous decline in price, fundamental activity indicators of the Hedera network (such as daily trading volume and active accounts) have not experienced a collapse, suggesting that some core ecosystem participants are still actively using the network.

02 Historical Volatility: The High-Risk Nature of Crypto Assets

The price history of HBAR vividly demonstrates the high volatility characteristic of crypto assets. It hit a record high of $0.569229 on September 15, 2021, and was at a historic low of $0.00986111 on January 3, 2020.

The current price of $0.112 is roughly in the lower-middle range of its historical prices, still about 80% below its all-time high.

Such dramatic price swings are common features of early-stage innovative assets. Reviewing the past few years’ price charts, it is clear that HBAR has experienced a complete cycle of bull market peaks, bear market bottoms, and cyclical oscillations. For long-term investors, understanding this cyclical nature is more important than predicting short-term points.

03 Value Support: The Core Engine Driving Future Prices

Despite short-term price pressures, the core engine determining HBAR’s long-term value remains operational. The technical advantages of the Hashgraph consensus mechanism are fundamental, claiming to enable higher transaction speeds, lower costs, and stronger security, making large-scale enterprise applications possible.

Enterprise adoption is a unique narrative for Hedera. Its governing council includes global giants like Google, IBM, and Boeing, providing it with institutional credibility rarely seen in traditional blockchain projects.

Recent discussions about asset management firms exploring the tokenization of funds on the Hedera network, as well as its micro-payment services and integration with existing financial infrastructure, are viewed as positive long-term signals.

Tokenomics and supply-demand dynamics directly influence market balance. HBAR’s total supply cap is 50 billion tokens, with approximately 42.48 billion (about 85%) already in circulation. This means the pressure of new supply will gradually diminish, and future prices will be more driven by network adoption and demand growth.

04 Institutional Forecasts: Price Outlook Under Bull and Bear Perspectives

Different analysis institutions have provided markedly different forecasts for HBAR’s future, reflecting significant market disagreement.

The conservative view suggests that if market sentiment remains subdued and ecosystem development is slow, HBAR may find support in the $0.08 to $0.10 range, possibly testing lower levels. Analysis from Gate platform offers a relatively neutral forecast, estimating that HBAR’s main trading range in 2025 could be between $0.107 and $0.169.

Optimistic technical analysis, based on chart patterns, indicates that the current deep correction may be forming a long-term “bottom zone.” Some analysts see the $0.10 to $0.12 area as a potential value trough, and if market sentiment reverses, the price could first challenge the key resistance zone at $0.23 to $0.25.

Forecast Type 2025 Forecast Range/Target Core Logic and Assumptions
Pessimistic Scenario $0.08 - $0.10 Market continues bear trend, ecosystem development underwhelms
Neutral Baseline $0.11 - $0.17 Market stabilizes, network adoption progresses steadily
Optimistic Breakout $0.23 - $0.40 Technical pattern completes bottoming, bull sentiment returns

05 Strategy Framework: Different Approaches for Investors

In a highly uncertain market environment, clear investment strategies are more important than precise price predictions. For long-term value investors, the current price zone may be worth attention. Consider adopting a “dollar-cost averaging” approach, such as establishing an initial position at current levels and planning additional purchases at lower levels (e.g., $0.09, $0.07).

Investment proportions should be controlled within appropriate portfolio ranges. For most investors, it is recommended to keep HBAR allocation between 1% and 10%. Short-term traders should focus on key technical levels: $0.110 is an important psychological threshold, and $0.100 is a stronger support zone.

On the upside, the $0.130 to $0.135 range may form the first resistance zone. Traders should set clear stop-loss levels (e.g., $0.105) and closely monitor market sentiment and trading volume changes.

06 Risk Warning: Investment Principles in Uncertainty

Before investing in HBAR, it is essential to fully understand the multiple risks involved. Market and competitive risks are foremost, as the crypto market itself is highly volatile, and HBAR must compete with new-generation public chains like Solana and Avalanche for developers and users.

Regulatory uncertainty is a looming threat for all crypto projects; changes in global regulatory policies could significantly impact project development. Technical and execution risks also exist. Although Hashgraph technology is considered advantageous, large-scale adoption still requires time for validation, and whether the network can achieve its technical roadmap as planned remains uncertain.

Liquidity risk is especially prominent in bear markets, where insufficient market depth may lead to significant slippage on large buy or sell orders. Investors should always exercise caution, only invest funds they can afford to lose, and consider diversifying assets across different types.

Future Outlook

On technical analysis charts, HBAR’s weekly chart shows the price approaching a long-term trendline support zone. Meanwhile, discussions on Hedera’s developer forums about enterprise-grade decentralized applications and asset tokenization remain active.

Behind the $4.7 billion market cap, is it institutional investors quietly positioning themselves in the bear market, or retail investors collectively retreating in panic? At the $0.112 price point, the narratives of bulls and bears are fiercely contesting.

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