#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 What is your recent outlook on BTC?

Trading logic is simple and straightforward: during large cycles (weekly and daily K-lines), just wait and watch; only the small cycles can be used to identify trends. If even the small cycles are consolidating, then stay out of the market—that's an iron rule.

Currently, the price is oscillating around the yellow central zone, still below the zone. The key to going long is here—whether it breaks through or not, the left-side low point must be broken.

If it doesn't break, the small cycle will form a double bottom pattern and push upward; if it breaks, it signals the start of a first buy. These two scenarios are completely different in nature, and the subsequent trend expectations need to be adjusted accordingly.

Once it breaks through the central zone upward, the most important task is to distinguish between a false breakout and a genuine one. False breakouts are traps that occur daily; only the energy from a true breakout is worth chasing. During macro data releases like Non-Farm Payrolls, sharp volatility is more likely, so be extra cautious.

Overall, be patient and wait for signals; don't rush into positions.