Recently, I took stock of the trading data and discovered an interesting phenomenon—this month's trading volume is only a little over 20% of last month's, already halved. November's figures were already significantly lower than October, and now this number is even more disheartening. Even though I still have some quantitative trading operations running and major positions haven't fully exited, the trading activity remains so sluggish. What does this imply?
Is there still anyone seriously playing in the blockchain market? This is a question worth pondering. From both technical and fundamental perspectives, there are indeed many enticing signals tempting people to enter, and various indicators seem to tell a story of a "rebound."
But when I look at the actual market temperature—those leading indicators are giving off signs of winter. The sharp decline in trading volume, the sluggishness of active addresses, the cold on-chain heat... all these are speaking in reverse. The technical signals are shouting "buy," while market data is waving "no," creating a disconnect that leaves people somewhat at a loss.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
4 Likes
Reward
4
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
MEVSupportGroup
· 8h ago
Quantitative trading is all fleeing, even big players can't understand it anymore. At this point, those calling for a rebound are just trying to cut the last wave.
Daring to claim a bottom signal with trading volume halved—laughable. Can data really deceive?
The technical analysis methods are long outdated; on-chain activity is the real gold and silver. Right now, this temperature can't even be ignited.
Are there really people who believe this is a rebound? I think it's probably the last struggle before a dump.
Honestly, no one is playing anymore. With volume gone, what fundamentals are there to talk about?
View OriginalReply0
ChainComedian
· 12-17 19:48
It's still talking about chart stories after being cut in half, really self-deceiving...
Quantitative trading has no work to do, what does that say, do I still need to ask?
The main trend hasn't emerged, and the trading volume dies first—this routine is played out.
Technical analysis is just fooling people; on-chain data is the real deal, it's that simple.
No matter how good the rebound story sounds, the trading volume is right there.
Winter has indeed arrived, but the problem is spring is still far away.
Indicators are diverging, and that's the most terrifying signal.
Everyone is waiting for a rebound, no one really wants to buy the dip—this is the level we're at.
View OriginalReply0
JustHodlIt
· 12-17 19:48
It's considered a light cut, I think this is just waiting to die. The technical jargon is getting annoying; data won't lie.
---
Quantitative trading is ongoing, big players haven't left, yet the trading volume is still so weak? It shows that those who should leave already have, and what's left are just retail investors chopping each other up.
---
Winter's coming? I think it's the Ice Age; the temperature needs to drop two more waves before anyone dares to buy the dip.
---
No matter how good the rebound story is, it can't withstand no one to take the buy-in.
---
So now the technical analysis is playing a solo, and the market is just watching the joke? Turns out we're the only ones still watching the K-line.
---
On-chain activity is extremely cold, this is the real market temperature. Don't be fooled by those indicators.
---
Over 20% trading volume is truly pathetic; is this a shakeout or a death spiral? It's hard to tell the difference.
---
Everyone says there are signals enticing people to enter, but I ask, who the hell dares to buy?
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketBro
· 12-17 19:46
Quantitative machines are running, big players are still bottom-fishing, and trading volume is still declining in a straight line. Isn't this a typical false fire?
Technical charts are just pie in the sky, data is heading towards bankruptcy, it's really hard to stay calm.
Another magical cycle of indicator versus indicator, I just want to see who is really throwing money in.
Trading volume doesn't lie; no matter how loud you boast, you have to bow your head.
This is the biggest test of mentality—seeing who isn't fooled by the technical "sugar-coated" cannonballs.
With such dead volume, the rebound story is just a joke.
Winter has come, but some refuse to admit it—that's the biggest risk.
The problem is, big players know this is a trap, but retail investors are still waiting for a rebound.
View OriginalReply0
GamefiHarvester
· 12-17 19:22
Quantitative strategies can't even be developed, indicating that there really are no more people. The technical aspect is just for show, but the trading volume is there, completely disconnected.
Recently, I took stock of the trading data and discovered an interesting phenomenon—this month's trading volume is only a little over 20% of last month's, already halved. November's figures were already significantly lower than October, and now this number is even more disheartening. Even though I still have some quantitative trading operations running and major positions haven't fully exited, the trading activity remains so sluggish. What does this imply?
Is there still anyone seriously playing in the blockchain market? This is a question worth pondering. From both technical and fundamental perspectives, there are indeed many enticing signals tempting people to enter, and various indicators seem to tell a story of a "rebound."
But when I look at the actual market temperature—those leading indicators are giving off signs of winter. The sharp decline in trading volume, the sluggishness of active addresses, the cold on-chain heat... all these are speaking in reverse. The technical signals are shouting "buy," while market data is waving "no," creating a disconnect that leaves people somewhat at a loss.