Does $ASTER really have that much growth potential? Many voices are optimistic about it reaching $100 or even $1,000, but a careful calculation makes it clear.

First, look at the supply—ASTER has 8 billion tokens in circulation, and this base determines the market cap ceiling. BNB took a full 10 years to reach its current height, supported by a thriving ecosystem. In contrast, the market cap of ASTER on exchanges is already in the tens of billions, so the starting point is different.

How does it compare to other projects? HYPE only had a market cap of a few million when it first listed last year, gradually increasing over time. UNI took several years to go from its initial DeFi token to its current position. For ASTER to increase tenfold from its current size to $100, under the constraint of 8 billion supply, what kind of market cap does that imply? This math problem is quite difficult to solve perfectly.

Ultimately, the supply cap is a hurdle that cannot be bypassed. Instead of hoping for a miracle, it's better to look at the project's ecosystem development and application prospects.