2025-12-18 04:40:18

#数字资产市场洞察 The recent wave of the market is indeed a bit interesting. From a macro point of view, the non-farm payroll data jumped out of a high value of 4.4% the day before yesterday, exceeding expectations, and today there is still the November CPI to be announced, and the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again tomorrow, these negative signals are one after another. The overall atmosphere of the market is weak, and many people are betting on bears.

BTC's decline is still a bit ruthless, smashing 36% in less than a month and a half. Bearish voices have indeed become mainstream, and bear market rhetoric is flying all over the sky. But here I want to say one thing - the market sometimes likes to do the opposite. The more one-sided pessimism, the easier it is to brew an unexpected rebound. Instead of worrying about how far the bearish will be realized, it is better to focus on a core question: can this wave of decline be exhausted?

I personally tend to think that the bearish digestion is almost over, and the probability of a rebound is rising. The key is to find the right long opportunity in the process of price second exploration. At times like this, patience and a sense of rhythm are important.

BTC-0,02%

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MEVictim

· 2025-12-21 00:20

When everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, it's often the bottom. I've heard this logic too many times haha. Wait, you say the bad news has been mostly digested? It feels like it's just beginning, and the Bank of Japan hasn't shown any signs yet. A 36% decline sounds pretty scary, but on the other hand, the bullish window is indeed slowly opening. The key still depends on whether the second test holds. If it doesn't, it will continue to fall—that's the reality. When the rebound comes, remember to take some profit and breathe, so you don't get caught again until next year. Talking about rhythm is easy, but when the market is in front of you, who isn't nervous? Bottom hunters should be ready to move, but I'm still on the sidelines. Instead of guessing the bottom, it's better to wait for a confirmed signal; safety margins are more important. The biggest risk at this time is a false breakout. Missing that move feels really terrible.

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SandwichDetector

· 2025-12-20 05:39

When everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, it's often a bottom signal. I've heard this logic too many times, but every time someone gets proven wrong, haha. During the second probe, patience is definitely required. The problem is, how many people can hold their ground and avoid chasing highs or bottom-fishing?

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AirdropLicker

· 2025-12-19 23:47

A bunch of bearish news has hit, but BTC still hasn't died, indicating that the bottom may really be near. A 36% drop is indeed frightening, but now seeing widespread bearish sentiment is actually a signal—it's time to turn around and go long. Let's see if the second test can hold, and be patient for the opportunity.

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liquiditea_sipper

· 2025-12-18 05:09

When everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, it often signals a bottom. This wave is indeed quite interesting.

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RetroHodler91

· 2025-12-18 05:08

When everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, it's often the easiest time to hit the bottom. Will this time be the same? BTC's 36% decline is indeed quite sharp, but I think everyone is overreacting. We've seen declines of this magnitude in history. How to put it, instead of obsessing over negative news every day and torturing yourself, it's better to wait for a good entry point. Patience is the most valuable. Ah, really, the market's favorite move is to reverse when everyone is hopeless. Whether you believe it or not this time is up to you. At such times, what really matters is who is secretly accumulating, not blindly shouting short based on public opinion.

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MetaverseMigrant

· 2025-12-18 05:04

One-sided bearishness, I prefer this kind of market; it often signals the night before a reversal.

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GigaBrainAnon

· 2025-12-18 04:54

36% This wave of decline is indeed fierce, but you see, when everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, it's often the night before a reversal. I've seen this pattern too many times.

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NoodlesOrTokens

· 2025-12-18 04:44

A 36% decline is really harsh, but now you see everywhere are bearish voices. Isn't this a sign of a bottom? When everyone is overwhelmingly bearish, the rebound often comes the fastest. The probability of this wave bottoming out and bouncing back is quite high.

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