#大户持仓动态 The recent market rhythm, to be honest, is a bit overwhelming—sometimes it surges, sometimes it crashes down, a classic pattern of repeated shakeouts. This is the most testing time for human nature. Many friends who followed the rhythm yesterday indeed seized the opportunity to short during the pullback after the surge and made quite a profit. Looking at the strategies I’ve published, they’ve basically helped everyone grasp the rhythm, and some fans even doubled their positions.

But I have to be honest: this kind of market is extremely risky. Never let profits cloud your judgment; risk management must be taken seriously. Trading rhythm cannot be chaotic; rushing in can easily lead to repeated liquidations, and your mindset can break down. Interestingly, those who don’t set stop-losses and stubbornly hold their positions sometimes manage to hold through—sounds contradictory, right? Actually, this just proves one thing: entry points and timing are the real keys.

Staying alive in this kind of market is simple—keep a steady mindset, don’t chase highs or sell lows, enter in batches, and always set stop-losses. Such volatility can actually be an opportunity to make money. The market will try to throw your emotions into chaos, but as long as you stick to your rhythm, you won’t be washed out.

Now, let me analyze the current key levels and signals from the daily and four-hour charts.

**How to read the daily chart:**

Volatility is converging, with short-term bulls and bears evenly matched. The long lower shadow on the December 17th candle indicates that the main force is accumulating at low levels, with funds defending. The overall trend remains bearish; MACD remains in a death cross, but this is crucial—RSI has rebounded from the bottom to around 44, indicating that the downward momentum is not as fierce anymore, and the energy is waning. The key point now is: can the recent lows hold? That will determine the next direction.

**What’s happening on the four-hour chart:**

It’s oscillating within a small range. The MACD green bars are shrinking continuously, with signs of the lines approaching each other; a golden cross may be coming. If the golden cross is confirmed and the price can stabilize above the short-term moving averages, then a rebound becomes possible. Currently, RSI is around 50, indicating a neutral sentiment. Pay special attention to the 85,000 level below, as it is the first support.

**Trading ideas for December 18:**

For $BTC:

- Long in the 85488-86188 range, with a stop-loss below 84288, targeting 87888-88888
- Short in the 88888-87888 range, with a stop-loss above 90188, targeting 86288-85488

For $ETH:

- Long in the 2733-2768 range, with a stop-loss below 2677, targeting 2838-2878
- Short in the 2878-2838 range, with a stop-loss above 2948, targeting 2771-2731

In plain terms, this is the current market—high volatility, many opportunities, but also high risk. The key is to strictly follow your trading discipline.