2025-12-18 06:51:22

#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Can Dogecoin continue its hot streak? The triple logic behind the violent fluctuations in $DOGE market

Last night's market was a roller coaster—opening at 0.13486 at 11:30 PM, soaring instantly to 0.13522, almost breaking through, then a rapid plunge to 0.13200, closing at 0.13239. That large red candle left many feeling anxious.

Behind this intense volatility are three key factors that determine DOGE's trend:

**First, BTC is the anchor**
Currently, BTC is repeatedly testing the $86,000 level. The gains and losses around this line directly determine DOGE's ceiling. As long as BTC cannot stabilize, DOGE, as a risk asset within risk assets, will be the first to be hammered down. In the crypto market's interconnected environment, every move of BTC amplifies and transmits to high-volatility coins like DOGE.

**Second, news is always a black swan**
A single tweet or comment can trigger instant surges or crashes in DOGE. This is not an exaggeration; history has proven it multiple times. News-driven movements are particularly prominent in this coin, while fundamentals seem relatively pale in comparison.

**Third, market sentiment is at an extreme**
A slight rise prompts bearish calls of "quick bull return," a small dip triggers "run away." In this polarized emotional environment, every fluctuation in DOGE can be amplified infinitely. Minor corrections can evolve into collective panic selling.

**Trading response logic:**

Bullish approach: Wait for clear rebound signals around 0.1235 (such as long lower shadows, RSI quickly rising above 30 with volume support), then consider entering. First target is the 0.1300 resistance, watch out for the MA(25) at 0.12605 acting as resistance. Set stop-loss below 0.1220 to prevent failed rebounds.

Bearish approach: When the price rebounds near 0.1300, MACD remains below zero, and trading volume shrinks, consider short positions. The first target is the support around 0.1235.

For high-volatility coins like DOGE, rapid reversals are common in the short term. The key is to stick to risk management and avoid being overwhelmed by impulsive market movements.

DOGE-3,99%

BTC-0,91%

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CounterIndicator

· 2025-12-21 06:34

Are you here to play people for suckers like me again? That bearish line last night was quite forceful.

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FrontRunFighter

· 2025-12-20 21:13

yo this DOGE pump dump is textbook manipulation... BTC can't even hold 86k and everyone's acting shocked? the real dark forest is watching retail get liquidated while whales stack cheap coins. classic frontrunning playbook tbh

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WalletWhisperer

· 2025-12-19 19:56

btc holding 86k like a nervous hand on the trigger... doge just collateral damage at this point tbh

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EthMaximalist

· 2025-12-19 18:48

Once again BTC is causing trouble, and DOGE is suffering along --- Black swan event in the news? Basically, it's just gambling with luck. Is this coin really reliable? --- If the 0.1235 level doesn't hold, it will directly return to the fracture price --- That's how emotional trading works; stories can be made up for both rises and falls. Don't think about bottom fishing anymore --- I feel that the SEC's framework advancement might actually make it easier to crash the market. Are the positive signals exhausted? --- I just don't believe DOGE has any fundamentals left; it's purely a faith-based play --- Stop loss below 1220? It might just plunge straight to 1200. Risk control is really tough --- Why not just go all-in on BTC? Playing DOGE is so exhausting --- The theory of long lower shadows doesn't work at all for DOGE; the volatility is too intense --- Thinking of shorting on the rebound to 0.13? I wouldn't dare; I'd rather miss out than be hit back

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AirdropHunterXiao

· 2025-12-18 07:21

Another night where a BTC was stuck at 0.86W, and DOGE was just hammered down alive. DOGE really relies entirely on a single word from Musk; its fundamentals have long been numb. That big bearish candle yesterday was indeed tough, but the 0.1235 level must be held. News-driven factors are too strong, short-term risks are too high, better wait for a signal before entering again.

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GasDevourer

· 2025-12-18 07:17

Last night's bearish candlestick completely caught me off guard. I should have leveraged shorted it if I had known earlier. Holding firm at the BTC 86,000 level, and us brothers are doomed if we can't hold. The black swan event in the news is truly outrageous; a single tweet can shake people out. Honestly, DOGE is just an emotional play; fundamentals are really not that useful. I just want to know when BTC will break through 86,000, or else DOGE will continue to get hammered. The risk control bottom line is correct, but who can stay calm when it really happens? I'm watching the 0.1235 level, but I have no confidence. A collective stampede is coming; we retail investors are just the little guys. This wave of market sentiment is a bit despairing; it feels like funds have all moved to other coins.

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BlockchainArchaeologist

· 2025-12-18 07:09

It's BTC causing trouble again, with DOGE suffering along. --- Honestly, the news is so surreal that a single tweet can cause a limit-down. --- Risk control, ah risk control—so many people lose because of these two words. --- Is the 0.1235 level really that magical? Feels like it gets broken every time. --- Talking about technical analysis during extreme emotions is pure gambling psychology. --- Why does it always seem like the crypto market revolves around these three logical cycles? No new tricks. --- At the moment of the big bearish candle close, how many stop-loss orders got slipped? --- Waiting for a rebound signal, probably won't see any response until dawn. --- The bearish logic sounds more reliable, at least avoiding the fate of being liquidated.

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GateUser-cff9c776

· 2025-12-18 07:02

Schrödinger's DOGE, both Musk's pet and the market's toy, something that defies supply and demand curves can actually rise.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 2025-12-18 07:00

It's BTC causing trouble again, always dancing with DOGE like this. Dogecoin is just a news-driven machine; fundamentals don't matter much. I'll look for a rebound at 0.1235, otherwise I'm going to sleep. That bearish candle last night was really intense, almost scared me to death. How much impact will the SEC's regulatory framework have on DOGE? Should we keep hyping it? Honestly, DOGE is just casino chips; whoever has stronger sentiment wins. Risk control first, don't be fooled by the market. I'll consider bottom fishing if RSI rises back to 30, otherwise I'll just stay flat. The market is too polarized; such coins are just not worth playing.

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AirdropHarvester

· 2025-12-18 06:58

Once again, it crashed. If BTC is unstable, don't expect a turnaround. Last night's move was truly desperate; I almost got caught and lost everything. The news is just gambling—one sentence can cut people deep. The more intense the decline in sentiment, the more people's hearts scatter; a stampede is inevitable. If you can't hold the 0.12 level, it's really dangerous. Playing DOGE requires strong mental preparation; don't let dreams cloud your judgment.

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