2025-12-18 08:20:24

Recently, Bitcoin has been losing momentum, with prices steadily declining. Essentially, the market risk appetite has cooled down, and large funds are becoming particularly cautious about high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies. Currently, everyone is waiting for key US economic data, and in the short term, more people are choosing to stay on the sidelines.

The US November employment data just came out, and the situation is a bit complicated. Job creation exceeded expectations, but the unemployment rate jumped to a four-year high, which is somewhat contradictory—indicating that the labor market isn't as healthy as it seems. At this time, uncertainty around AI and tech stocks is also rising, prompting funds to take profits. Globally, tech stocks are generally pulling back, and the crypto market has naturally cooled off as well.

BTC once dipped to $85,288, hitting a two-week low. It then rebounded slightly, but is still oscillating in a weak state. The Fed's rate cut expectations haven't gained momentum, and the probability of a rate cut in January doesn't seem high, so the market remains very cautious right now.

So, what's the next focus? It’s the upcoming CPI inflation data, which is very likely to be the key factor influencing the subsequent trend. Interestingly, some institutions believe Bitcoin is breaking free from the traditional "four-year cycle" constraints. Continuous ETF inflows, expectations of falling interest rates, along with structural changes, could push Bitcoin to new highs by 2026. The short term is a bit weak, but the long-term logic remains intact. However, currently, altcoins are also pulling back along with Bitcoin, and the entire market is still in a correction phase.

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TideReceder

· 2025-12-21 07:59

Everyone is waiting for the CPI, and it will be another bloody storm.

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SelfCustodyIssues

· 2025-12-21 05:13

It's the same old story again, waiting for CPI, waiting for interest rate cuts, when will we ever get there? Anyway, I'm lying flat, cash in my left hand and BTC in my right, and I won't be surprised if it falls without any spectacular moves. Even if we hit a new high in 2026, I have to survive until that day; this bear market is really frustrating to watch. I don’t trust what institutions say anymore, I’d rather manage my Wallet myself and feel secure. Don't talk about the four-year cycle; this time it's completely out of whack, tech stocks are dragging the whole market down. I bought the dip at 85288, and I'm still at a loss, haha. What happened to the promised interest rate cuts? The topic changes and there's no sound. The short-term weakness is just a signal, and I see the long-term outlook is also precarious. Big money has all pulled out, and we are still here waving flags and shouting, our perspectives are different. We're actually just waiting for a confirmed message; everything is ambiguous now. The fall of alts this time is even more ridiculous; my small coins have directly experienced a 50% Slump. Rather than getting caught up in technical analysis, it’s better to check if you have cash on hand.

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MEVHunter

· 2025-12-20 16:17

Manipulating mempool data really can reveal the bottom; I was already monitoring the wave at 85288, but this time the rebound from the bottom is weak. Currently, the market is a typical arbitrage opportunity that can't be exploited at all, and the flash loan tricks have also failed. Funds are all waiting for CPI. To be honest, the long-term logic isn't broken, but in the short term, it's indeed awkward. With this weak volatility, I actually want to bet on the expectation of interest rate cuts in January. Altcoins are completely out of the question. Let's see if the "new cycle" theory for 2026 is just another dream for bagholders.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 2025-12-18 08:50

Here comes the saying of "cutting leeks again," "long-term logic is still intact." I've heard this phrase too many times. Short-term weakness means a cut; stop sugarcoating it. Big funds are all fleeing. What are you waiting for, CPI? They've already voted with their feet. Wait, those institutions that said they would break through the four-year cycle, why didn't they break through last time? The entire market adjustment is just cleaning out retail investors. Those who should cut, cut; those who should buy, buy. Is there any support at the 85,288 level? If it breaks, is it heading straight to 80k? I just want to know who still dares to leverage up right now.

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GetRichLeek

· 2025-12-18 08:46

Once again, it’s crashing down, this time even unable to hold 85k. The market makers are really disgusting. Bitcoin is boring, my altcoins are even more boring, I’ve just cut my losses. Before the CPI data is released, anyone daring to buy the dip is a gambler. I am now a gambler. Long-term logic isn’t broken? Bro, I just want to hear who will still be alive in 2026. Everyone says ETFs will save the market, but is this really saving it? Laughing to death. Waiting for a rebound to crash again, this wave really topped out. Regretting in the late night. If the Federal Reserve doesn’t cut interest rates in January, all technical indicators will be useless.

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RugDocScientist

· 2025-12-18 08:43

85288 that position really doesn't mean much, the rebound was pushed down again, this is a sign of the market lacking consensus. CPI is the real bomb, only then will the market decide which way to go. 2026 new high? Let's survive this wave first, it's too early to say now. Big funds are really retreating right now, who dares to take the plunge? Breaking the four-year cycle is okay, anyway I hold long-term, short-term fluctuations don't matter. The key thing is the unemployment rate hitting a new high, the US stock market is falling, how good can Bitcoin get? Why does it feel like it's going to break below 80,000? Let's wait and see.

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WalletAnxietyPatient

· 2025-12-18 08:36

This wave of Bitcoin really isn't interesting; it can't even hold 85K, feels like we need to keep throwing in more. CPI day was truly the watershed moment, at that point, should we cut all positions or not? The long-term logic isn't broken; I'm just worried about trapping people in the short term. Does this pullback feel like a good opportunity to get in? Or should we wait and see?

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OnchainUndercover

· 2025-12-18 08:32

Bitcoin's recent performance is indeed lackluster. Should we wait for the CPI data or get in early? Anyway, I don't believe the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in January; it's all just a lie.

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consensus_whisperer

· 2025-12-18 08:26

I was just thinking about that low point at 85288, where is the bottom? It still feels like it needs to go lower. If it drops, it drops. Anyway, Bitcoin has no short-term prospects; CPI is the real key issue. Unemployment rate soaring, large funds fleeing faster than rabbits. This time, we really have to endure. Stop talking about four-year cycles. Now, just wait to see if the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates or not. During the market's wait-and-see period, I'm also lying flat; I haven't fully understood AIT yet. The labor market is breaking down, tech stocks are underperforming, no wonder crypto is so sluggish. 2026 new highs? Let's wait until CPI is announced before talking about that. Getting your funds in your pocket is the safest, everything else is just talk. Weak volatility is so annoying; just waiting for inflation data to stir things up. Altcoins right now are just reading books with the crown prince, with no real reference value.

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NewDAOdreamer

· 2025-12-18 08:26

Bitcoin's recent movement is really lackluster. Let's wait for the CPI shock to hit. --- It's all about waiting and being cautious. Funds are really scared now. --- I knew I had to buy the dip at 85288, but it's still falling. It's quite absurd. --- Long-term logic isn't broken? Bro, my short-term account is almost wiped out. --- AI tech stocks are all underperforming, crypto is just along for the ride. This is the current rhythm. --- Unemployment rate hits a four-year high, but employment data exceeds expectations. The market just loves to play contradictions. --- 2026 hitting new highs? We're already almost in 2025. How am I supposed to hold out until then? --- Altcoins are being pushed down to the ground again. Maybe I should just stick to Bitcoin. --- No chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in January. The market will have to hold back a bit longer. --- ETF funds are continuously flowing in, right? But I see the market still falling.

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