Everyone, at this point, you need to stay alert and watch the market closely. The recent market situation is like this—BTC and ETH are oscillating within a range, retail investors are being shaken out left and right, both longs and shorts are getting hammered. But you must understand that market silence often isn't true calm.

What’s the key in these days? The battle between the Federal Reserve and inflation data. If you bet right, you can make big profits; if you bet wrong, you’ll stumble. This is no joke.

First, some data. The November high-frequency inflation report released by Numerator is interesting—American households’ daily necessities prices have risen 2.2% year-over-year, and increased 0.38% month-over-month. This indicator is different from the official CPI; it directly tracks everyday items like food and daily necessities that ordinary people contact every day, making it more sensitive and quicker to react. In other words, this is the inflation barometer.

When the data came out, the Fed’s internal reaction was explosive. The plan to cut interest rates in 2026? It was shattered into pieces. Although there are signs of rising unemployment, the tightening expectations remain firmly high. These decision-makers seem to be betting on the possibility of inflation rebounding, but in reality, they are fighting against the market’s already starting to price in rate cuts.

This kind of uncertainty makes the crypto world a roller coaster every day. The inflation data hasn't fully subsided, yet the Fed is stubbornly holding onto its policy without easing. How to resolve these contradictions will be the core suspense in the coming weeks.