2025-12-18 21:23:00

Most people miss the plot here: when CPI stays low, it's not the W we think it is. Low inflation readings usually signal recession brewing beneath the surface, not economic strength. The real issue? The Fed isn't cutting rates aggressively enough to offset the slowdown. Meanwhile, equities are riding the holiday rally wave—you know, that year-end Santa bounce we see every December. Crypto? Totally different animal. Bitcoin and alts are stuck in limbo, zero buyer enthusiasm regardless of whether macro data looks hot or cold. The asset classes have completely decoupled from traditional economic signals at this point.

BTC-1,84%

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

ParallelChainMaxi

· 2025-12-21 16:16

Is low inflation always a good thing? Wake up, this guy is right, a recession is brewing underneath. --- The Fed really can't hold back anymore, the pace of interest rate cuts can't keep up with the economic downturn. --- The stock market's Christmas rebound is purely a false fire, don't be fooled. --- The crypto world is completely doing its own thing now, macro data is useless to it at all. --- I think the key is that the Fed needs to speed up, otherwise this pit will get bigger and bigger. --- Wait, can encryption assets really fully depeg? I'm still not too sure. --- So should we hold coins or enter the market now? It feels like the whole market is in chaos. --- Such serious differentiation in asset classes indicates there's a problem with liquidity. --- Bitcoin is lifeless, but I still have a long-term optimistic view, the short term is indeed awkward.

View OriginalReply0

GweiTooHigh

· 2025-12-21 15:38

Low inflation makes you think you can just lay back and win? Wake up, this is the prelude to a recession. --- The Fed is playing this hand too conservatively, it can't support the economy at all. --- Stocks are rising happily, while Bitcoin is freezing cold here, it really has depegged. --- The year-end rebound is all fake, just wait for the fall. --- I just want to know when the coins can explode, it's so boring just sitting here. --- Low inflation does not equal a good economy; many people still haven't figured that out. --- The decoupling of assets is actually a good thing, indicating that the on-chain ecosystem has become independent. --- What's happened to the Christmas rebound? The US stock market should reveal its true colors in January next year. --- Bitcoin is no longer following the macro trends, it feels like it's forming its own faction, what kind of signal is this? --- If the Fed doesn't take action soon, sliding into recession is a done deal.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoPunster

· 2025-12-18 21:43

Low inflation = recession warning. This plot twist caught me off guard. A low CPI seems like a good thing, but it's actually setting us up. The Federal Reserve isn't helping either. That year-end stock rebound is just Santa Claus's trick, you've seen it before. The crypto space is even more incredible. Bitcoin and altcoins are collectively on holiday. Macro data can't save either hot or cold markets, this decoupling is truly remarkable. Retail investors look at macro indicators, while the big players are operating on a different level. What are we?

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeDodger

· 2025-12-18 21:38

Low inflation is a sign of an upcoming recession, which most people haven't really understood. But what I care more about is when the crypto market will finally move.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropF5Bro

· 2025-12-18 21:35

Isn't a low CPI a good thing? I need to think about this logic carefully... But on the other hand, Bitcoin has indeed been very sluggish lately, and its connection to macro data has long loosened.

View OriginalReply0

TokenToaster

· 2025-12-18 21:31

Low inflation = recession warning, I agree with this logic, but the problem is retail investors are still chasing the Christmas rebound --- The Fed is not cutting quickly enough, but the stock market is partying wildly. Crypto is freezing cold, really completely decoupled --- So, a mild CPI ≠ good news, but rather a disguised bad signal --- Wait, why is Bitcoin still so dead, with macro data showing no hot or cold signs? That’s the most painful part --- Year-end rebound is just a trap, the real problem is the Fed hasn't cut fast enough --- Crypto indeed follows a different logic, completely disconnected from traditional economic indicators --- Low inflation sounds good, but actually hints at an upcoming recession. The Fed is still dithering --- Interesting, stocks are speculating on Christmas, but no one in the crypto circle is taking the bait. Assets are really doing their own thing

View OriginalReply0