The Bank of Japan has raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points as scheduled, reaching a new high in nearly 30 years. This policy adjustment is worth paying attention to, as it could stir waves in the crypto market.
Historically, during the first three rate hike cycles of the Bank of Japan, Bitcoin's decline exceeded 20%. The current market environment seems to be replaying this pattern. On-chain data shows that institutional-level large holders are selling off significantly, directly reducing market liquidity. In a liquidity crunch, price pressure becomes inevitable.
Combining these two signals—the historical pattern of suppression and the current on-chain selling pressure—there is a high likelihood that Bitcoin will further decline. If you have long positions at high levels, shorting on rallies might be a safer choice. The market rhythm is already shifting, and proactively setting up defenses is better than passively taking hits.
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Rekt_Recovery
· 2025-12-22 03:20
yo not this again... been through three BOJ cycles already, my liquidation scars know the drill ngl. institutions dumping? classic copium-avoidance season fr. might actually short here but my leverage ptsd is kicking in... gotta sit this one out n watch the wreckage
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FlashLoanKing
· 2025-12-21 05:13
Japan has raised interest rates again, and this time the Large Investors are really selling, it feels like it's about to break.
Is it the rhythm of history repeating itself? The double top and bottom are coming down quickly, or should we wait and see?
I mean, with the institutions dumping so aggressively, has the Liquidity really dried up?
It seems like a high-position short order can still be a gamble, the risk is high but the return is tempting.
By the way, if Japan's interest rate hike is really that strong, why are they still running to the crypto world to dump?
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AirdropFreedom
· 2025-12-19 05:44
Japan raises interest rates again... institutions are fleeing, this wave is fierce, but don’t be scared
I’m optimistic about this decline, the bear market has arrived, brothers
Is history repeating itself? I believe so, but there’s also a chance to bottom fish here
I’ve already gone short, just waiting to see how far it can fall
Large investors fleeing is indeed not a good sign, but a bottom will eventually appear
This time the Bank of Japan really made a big move, with no liquidity left, how can they operate?
I agree with shorting on rallies, but don’t go all in, keep some ammunition
With institutions dumping so obviously, retail investors still going long are probably going to get trapped and wiped out
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StablecoinSkeptic
· 2025-12-19 05:43
Here we go again. Every time the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, Bitcoin gets hammered. Is it really that rigid?
I believe in institutional selling, but can history really be used to justify current conditions? Fine, then just go short.
To those holding long positions at twenty-year highs, good luck!
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CommunityJanitor
· 2025-12-19 05:34
Japan raises interest rates again. Is this time really going to crash the market?
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Is history repeating itself? Institutions are selling their coins, what should retail investors do?
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Shorting on rallies sounds simple, but in practice, you still get caught.
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Liquidity is drying up... Are we all just here to take over for the big players?
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Interest rates hitting a 30-year high, is the crypto market going to cool off? Or is this an opportunity for contrarian moves?
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Signals from big players selling off, should we stop-loss now? So annoying.
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On-chain data is so obvious, why are there still people willing to go long?
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Being liquidated on longs is common. Instead of defending, better to run early.
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Interest rate hike cycles cause crypto prices to drop over 20%. Will this trigger a chain reaction?
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Shorting is also a gamble. The safest approach might be to stay out of the market for now.
View OriginalReply0
SudoRm-RfWallet/
· 2025-12-19 05:27
Japan has raised interest rates again, and this time it really looks like a dump is coming.
Institutions are fleeing, liquidity is gone, we've seen this routine many times.
Brothers holding long positions at high levels, be careful, I’m shorting on rallies.
Will history repeat itself? It feels a bit different this time...
The biggest fear in the crypto world is no one to take over the position; when liquidity dries up, it becomes extremely dangerous.
Bank of Japan: I’m here to stir things up, you guys play on your own.
Looking at on-chain data, big players are all fleeing, retail investors are still sleepwalking.
Defense is indeed more reliable than chasing longs; this is how a bear market should be played.
After this wave, another round of newbies will be cut off.
Shorting on rallies is really safer, much smarter than blindly longing.
People’s Bank of China should move too; that’s when the real explosion will happen.
Forget it, let’s wait and see. Entering now is just giving away.
The Bank of Japan has raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points as scheduled, reaching a new high in nearly 30 years. This policy adjustment is worth paying attention to, as it could stir waves in the crypto market.
Historically, during the first three rate hike cycles of the Bank of Japan, Bitcoin's decline exceeded 20%. The current market environment seems to be replaying this pattern. On-chain data shows that institutional-level large holders are selling off significantly, directly reducing market liquidity. In a liquidity crunch, price pressure becomes inevitable.
Combining these two signals—the historical pattern of suppression and the current on-chain selling pressure—there is a high likelihood that Bitcoin will further decline. If you have long positions at high levels, shorting on rallies might be a safer choice. The market rhythm is already shifting, and proactively setting up defenses is better than passively taking hits.