Speaking of the relationship between central bank policies and the crypto world, this is worth pondering. Renowned trader Arthur Hayes recently pointed out the core logic of the Bank of Japan — negative real interest rates are essentially their tacit policy goal.
In other words, rather than stubbornly fighting the Bank of Japan's rate hikes, it’s better to go with the flow. Extending this line of thinking, Hayes offered his market judgment: the Japanese yen may depreciate to the 200 level against the US dollar, while Bitcoin could potentially break through the million-dollar mark.
The underlying logic is actually simple — yen depreciation signifies liquidity easing, and loose liquidity often boosts the valuation of risk assets. As a representative of risk assets, Bitcoin naturally benefits. Of course, this is just one opinion; market changes ultimately depend on the interplay of multiple factors.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
14 Likes
Reward
14
3
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
RamenDeFiSurvivor
· 2025-12-19 14:11
I believe the yen will depreciate to 200, but a million dollars for Bitcoin might be a bit optimistic. It still depends on how the Federal Reserve acts.
View OriginalReply0
DevChive
· 2025-12-19 07:29
The yen has depreciated to 200, and Bitcoin has broken 1 million. The logic sounds smooth, but can it really happen? What does the central bank think?
View OriginalReply0
fork_in_the_road
· 2025-12-19 07:27
Million-dollar Bitcoin? Hayes is at it again with the fireworks, but the yen depreciation part is indeed quite insightful.
Speaking of the relationship between central bank policies and the crypto world, this is worth pondering. Renowned trader Arthur Hayes recently pointed out the core logic of the Bank of Japan — negative real interest rates are essentially their tacit policy goal.
In other words, rather than stubbornly fighting the Bank of Japan's rate hikes, it’s better to go with the flow. Extending this line of thinking, Hayes offered his market judgment: the Japanese yen may depreciate to the 200 level against the US dollar, while Bitcoin could potentially break through the million-dollar mark.
The underlying logic is actually simple — yen depreciation signifies liquidity easing, and loose liquidity often boosts the valuation of risk assets. As a representative of risk assets, Bitcoin naturally benefits. Of course, this is just one opinion; market changes ultimately depend on the interplay of multiple factors.