#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 The original plan was to take profit on the long position and immediately switch to a short position, but this rebound exceeded expectations. It seems that the previously accumulated negative factors have been fully digested, and large funds are starting to build positions in batches to bottom fish, causing the price to be quickly pushed higher.

Although we are still operating within a downward channel, the probability of a short-term breakout is quite high. The next focus is very clear—this is the key support at 3k. Whether it can hold here will directly determine the subsequent trend: if the support holds and the upward momentum continues to be released, it could easily reverse into a complete upward trend, even heading straight for 3.2k. This is the main reason I am currently hesitant to rashly enter short positions; the risk-reward ratio is not ideal.

From the 4-hour chart, technical indicators have already formed consecutive golden cross signals at low levels, which is a relatively positive sign. I still have open long positions, and I can set a breakeven stop-loss to hold them, giving some room for a reversal. If this rebound is to materialize, it should not be too mild. Once clear top signals appear, I will consider entering short positions. The current short-term strategy is mainly to observe and closely monitor the performance around the 3k level.