Last night’s economic data release was indeed a clear positive, but there’s more to this market move. Under the current market environment, short positions at high levels are relatively favored — the reasons are straightforward:
**News Perspective** Once major data like interest rate cuts are realized, they turn into a bearish signal. Recently, there haven’t been any black swan events; as soon as the market rises, it provides an opportunity to short. It’s just a matter of timing.
**Trap Logic** Many people shorted around 2900, only to be caught in a sharp rally afterward. This is no coincidence — institutions aim to trap retail short positions at that level and then reverse the market.
**Institutional Behavior Interpretation** Currently, long positions are very strong, which usually indicates institutions are collecting chips, preparing for a final push before a market dump. The recent rally after the US stock market opened looks like the last phase of accumulation.
**Japanese Rate Hike Expectation** With Japan’s rate hike approaching, short positions are more cost-effective in the short term. Once the rate hike data is released, that will be the real bottom-fishing window, as institutions have already started to act.
From a technical and fundamental perspective, there may be good long opportunities over the weekend, but it’s more prudent to wait patiently for confirmation signals now. #数字资产市场洞察 $BTC $SOL
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RuntimeError
· 2025-12-22 03:31
It's the same argument about the cost-effectiveness of short orders again; how many people were directly crushed by institutions during that wave at 2900?
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Anon4461
· 2025-12-22 02:41
It's the same "institution dumping" narrative again; last time it was said like this, and the result was a Reverse limit up, huh?
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeCryBaby
· 2025-12-19 09:28
Talking about institutional tricks again, huh? Same old story. I was the one caught in that 2900 wave, haha.
Market Review Time is Up ☕
Last night’s economic data release was indeed a clear positive, but there’s more to this market move. Under the current market environment, short positions at high levels are relatively favored — the reasons are straightforward:
**News Perspective**
Once major data like interest rate cuts are realized, they turn into a bearish signal. Recently, there haven’t been any black swan events; as soon as the market rises, it provides an opportunity to short. It’s just a matter of timing.
**Trap Logic**
Many people shorted around 2900, only to be caught in a sharp rally afterward. This is no coincidence — institutions aim to trap retail short positions at that level and then reverse the market.
**Institutional Behavior Interpretation**
Currently, long positions are very strong, which usually indicates institutions are collecting chips, preparing for a final push before a market dump. The recent rally after the US stock market opened looks like the last phase of accumulation.
**Japanese Rate Hike Expectation**
With Japan’s rate hike approaching, short positions are more cost-effective in the short term. Once the rate hike data is released, that will be the real bottom-fishing window, as institutions have already started to act.
From a technical and fundamental perspective, there may be good long opportunities over the weekend, but it’s more prudent to wait patiently for confirmation signals now. #数字资产市场洞察 $BTC $SOL