#大户持仓动态 Recent market fluctuations have indeed been quite frequent, and many people are seeing things in a dizzying way. Actually, every wave of change has its reason; the market is telling a story, and what we need to do is understand it.

Looking back over the past few days: the previous rise was due to strong US inflation data and positive signals. Then it fell because expectations of interest rate hikes in Japan emerged, dampening market sentiment. Now, the rebound is because the rate hike has been implemented, shorts have been exhausted, and the market can finally breathe. Basically, it’s a cycle of news → expectations → trading → emotional release. As long as you keep up with this rhythm, the market trend becomes easier to understand.

Speaking of trading—Ethereum is really stuck around 3000, having tested it three times with good gains each time. But the problem is, repeatedly testing the same price reduces market adaptability, and the strategy will fail. If you do it a fourth time, your position should be much lighter.

I prefer to position myself higher up, where risk is more controllable, around 3150 to 3200. Looking downward, only if it stabilizes near 2800 is it a real support; I’ll look to buy the rebound there. Placing orders at clear support and resistance levels significantly improves success rates.

I’ve been paying attention to ZEC; it has now rebounded to around 415. I want to wait a bit longer—if it can surge to the 450-470 range, that’s a good opportunity to rebuild long-term short positions, using lower leverage to hold. I’ve been catching this coin’s rhythm quite well; previous trades have been profitable, giving me confidence.

The most important points in trading are really just these: focus on win rate, protect risk-reward ratio, and stick to discipline. Emotional reactions and greed are the biggest enemies. The market is still moving; don’t be led by short-term fluctuations—clarify the structure, find good positions, and take it slow.