#区块链金融创新 Recently, prediction markets and Gas futures have been trending topics everywhere, but honestly, it's a bit confusing for me 😅

At first, I thought prediction markets were just simple "guess right to make money," but after reading that in-depth analysis, I realized—they seem to have become a game of asymmetric information. Big players with insider info are making profits, while pure newbies like us are likely to be the ones getting caught... Thinking this way definitely makes me a bit anxious.

On the other hand, the on-chain Gas futures market mentioned by Vitalik has caught my interest! The logic is easy to understand—many people are worried about whether Ethereum's Gas fees will continue to rise in the future. Instead of worrying blindly, it’s better to have a transparent market where everyone can hedge risks. This feels more like genuine financial innovation rather than gambling.

I want to ask experienced folks, what exactly is the difference between prediction markets and futures markets? When will the Gas futures market be launched so I can try it out? 🤔