Holding 3 SOL in my wallet isn't a small amount, nor is it a huge fortune. But it's these 3 SOL that have me obsessing over the same question from morning to night — will the market go up or down next?

I'm sure you've felt this way too. People holding volatile assets have experienced this torment to some extent: when the market is rising, they fear missing the peak; when it's falling, they worry about missing the bottom rebound. After reading a round of analysis articles, I still couldn't find the answer. It's like holding a hot stove in your hand — you need its warmth, but you're also burned and restless.

But there's a question worth pondering: do we really need such precise predictions? Or is the question itself the wrong one?

Market trends are like waves; no one can predict what shape they'll take in the next second. You can study wave patterns, analyze indicators, but ultimately, it's a game of probabilities. What really keeps people awake at night isn't inaccurate predictions, but our habitual tendency to stake all our wealth on these "predictions." The result is — every market fluctuation hits right at the heart.

From market prediction to risk management, this is a watershed in investment thinking.

Mature investors gradually realize a truth: instead of wasting effort guessing the next move, it's better to spend time optimizing your asset allocation. This isn't passive complacency but proactive action. You need to reserve a portion of your assets as a "stabilizer" — those assets that don't require you to predict market trends, don't depend on market rises or falls, and focus solely on stability itself.

The purpose of this portion of assets is simple: not to achieve 10x or 100x returns, but to prevent your overall wealth from collapsing when your SOLs plummet; to give you enough psychological resilience and operational space during market panic. With them, you can truly view market fluctuations calmly.

In this way, your relationship with the market shifts from being a passive "follower" to an active "manager."