A month ago, I came on vacation thinking I would definitely have a prosperous year, but now the year hasn't even started and the money is gone.

Regardless of whether we make money or not, let's first eat dumplings with our family to celebrate the Winter Solstice.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has now dropped to 22%. However, from the current perspective of the probability of a rate cut, 22% is still not a significant chance of a cut. If no money is made this year, then the environment in 2026 will be even worse than this year.

Although it's a bear market, I still believe there will be a wave of increase. The market situation from the end of January to February may not be very good, especially with the Spring Festival holiday coming up. I still think it would be better to exit first if there is a rebound in the market afterwards.