#美联储政策走向 The Fed is going to cut interest rates this week! There's a 93% probability, and I'm a bit confused looking at the data from Polymarket 😅 It feels like everyone is waiting for this shoe to drop.

But I found an interesting point—there's such a high probability of a rate cut this month, yet there's a 68% chance of no rate cut in January? What signal is this? After checking the information, I understood that Powell might emphasize at the press conference that the threshold for further rate cuts next year is very high. It sounds a bit complicated, but simply put: could this rate cut be the last one?

Also, I saw that Deutsche Bank mentioned this decision might not be passed unanimously and there will be opposing votes. I used to think that central bank decisions would be very unified, but now I realize there can be disagreements. Thinking about it this way makes the market fluctuations seem more understandable.

By the way, major institutions are now paying close attention to Powell's statements, feeling that his wording is even more important than the specific interest rate numbers. This week should be very exciting, and new players can watch along with me 😊 Can any knowledgeable experts explain to me if trading is more prone to slippage when market liquidity is high?