What is Hidden Divergence? Why do traders need to know about it?

Divergence is a phenomenon where the price and technical indicators move in opposite directions, serving as a signal that traders use to identify potential trend reversals or continuations. However, not every divergence leads to a reversal; sometimes, Hidden Divergence indicates that the current trend is likely to continue.

Regular Divergence vs Hidden Divergence: Clarify the Distinction

Regular Divergence - Reversal Signal

When the price makes a new high or low, but the indicator (MACD, RSI) does not follow in the same direction, it suggests weakening momentum.

  • Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low but RSI does not → signals potential upward reversal
  • Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high but RSI does not → signals potential downward reversal

Hidden Divergence - Continuation Signal

This is where many traders often miss it. Hidden Divergence occurs when the price moves weakly, but the indicator still shows strong momentum, indicating the trend may continue.

  • Hidden Bullish Divergence: Price makes a minor correction lower (High that is lower) but RSI remains strong → trend likely to continue upward
  • Hidden Bearish Divergence: Price makes a minor correction higher (Low that is higher) but RSI remains strong → trend likely to continue downward

How to Spot Hidden Divergence on Charts

Step 1: Look for weak price patterns

In an uptrend, look for:

  • Higher lows that are not very distinct (Higher Low that is not clear)
  • Price oscillating upward without making a new high

In a downtrend, look for:

  • Lower highs that are not very distinct (Lower High that is not clear)
  • Price oscillating downward without making a new low

Step 2: Compare with RSI or MACD

The key is in the divergence:

  • If the price makes a Higher Low but RSI makes a Lower Low → This is Hidden Bullish Divergence
  • If the price makes a Lower High but RSI makes a Higher High → This is Hidden Bearish Divergence

Step 3: Wait for entry signals

For Hidden Bullish Divergence:

  • Wait for the price to break above the consolidation
  • Enter buy when the first candle turns green
  • Set Stop Loss below the latest Low

For Hidden Bearish Divergence:

  • Wait for the price to break below the consolidation
  • Enter sell when the first candle turns red
  • Set Stop Loss above the latest High

Real Examples: Scenes Traders Should Remember

Hidden Bullish Divergence in Action

Consider this scenario: BTC price is declining and makes a Low at 28,000 with RSI at 35. Later, the price drops to 27,500 (Lower), but RSI only rises to 38 (not below 35).

This indicates: Sellers are losing strength. Despite the lower price, selling momentum is waning. Therefore, the decline is not confirmed by momentum, and traders should prepare to buy.

Hidden Bearish Divergence in Action

Consider this scenario: ETH price is rising to 2,100 with RSI at 72. Later, the price reaches 2,150 (Higher), but RSI only rises to 68 (less than 72).

This indicates: Buyers are losing strength. Despite the higher price, buying momentum is waning. The upward move is not confirmed by momentum, and traders should prepare to sell.

Key Differences Traders Must Understand

Topic Regular Divergence Hidden Divergence
When it occurs End of trend Middle of trend
Signal Price reversal Trend continuation
Risk Difficult, as it may reverse multiple times Lower, as trend strength remains
Usage For trading reversals For trading trend continuation

Caution: Hidden Divergence is Not a Magic Tool

Most importantly - both Regular and Hidden Divergence are not 100% accurate. Sometimes, signals may appear multiple times before the price moves as expected.

Safe Trading Tips:

  • Never trade solely based on Hidden Divergence
  • Combine with support/resistance levels
  • Always set Stop Loss, even if signals seem clear
  • Confirm with higher timeframes
  • Remember: “Trend is King” - do not fight the trend

Summary

Hidden Divergence is a useful tool for catching the continuation of a trend with momentum. It should be used alongside other tools. The most important point is understanding when the price moves weakly but indicators remain strong — signaling that the trend is not over yet. If traders learn to recognize and systematically apply it, along with proper risk management, Hidden Divergence can be a rational decision point in your trading portfolio.

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