2025-12-31 10:26:02

The investment community has recently been discussing an old topic—the timing of the next crisis. Renowned investor Jim Rogers' recent comments have attracted attention again; he believes 2026 could become the next turning point for a financial storm. This seasoned investor, who accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis, has been reducing his holdings in U.S. stocks in recent years and shifting heavily into silver and gold. These moves reflect his concerns about market fragility.

Looking at the current macro environment makes it easy to understand how real these concerns are. U.S. national debt has already surpassed $37 trillion, with daily interest payments exceeding military spending. This is just the tip of the iceberg—Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio has reached 250%, far exceeding the levels seen during the Greek crisis. The aftermath of years of reckless liquidity injections by countries worldwide has become a ticking time bomb.

Overvaluation of corporate assets is also a problem. Nvidia’s market cap is nearly equivalent to the combined value of the top 20 companies in Europe. Interestingly, company executives are quietly cashing out. Jensen Huang sold $900 million worth of stock, while Bezos and Zuckerberg are gradually reducing their holdings. Such executive exits often signal underlying issues.

For the crypto market, these risks are not distant. The stablecoin market has already surpassed $260 billion, and these assets are closely tied to the U.S. debt system. Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional stock markets is growing stronger, meaning that when the financial system experiences volatility, crypto assets will find it hard to remain unaffected. A significant correction in U.S. stocks could trigger a rapid chain reaction.

Against this backdrop, many are rethinking their asset allocation strategies—maintaining moderate cash reserves, paying attention to commodities driven up by spot shortages, and reducing leverage and high-risk positions. Preparing before a crisis often determines how effectively one can weather it.

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AirdropHunter007

· 6h ago

Roger has started blowing the whistle again, 2026? I think instead of guessing when it will come, it's more practical to start reducing positions now. The fact that Huang Boss cashed out 900 million is truly incredible, executives are all fleeing, and we're still taking the hit? Stablecoins tied to US bonds, BTC moving in sync with the stock market... This means the crypto world can't escape either. It’s about time to allocate some spot holdings. Japan’s debt ratio is 250%, that number sounds outrageous. Is the whole world performing a fiery, melodramatic show? Instead of waiting for the wind to come, it’s better to cut leverage first. Preparing before a crisis hits is really crucial.

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LiquidityWitch

· 6h ago

Rogers has started to turn bearish again, but this time the numbers are truly shocking... 37 trillion in debt, who would still dare to leverage up? Executives are all fleeing, retail investors are still rushing in, hilarious. Stablecoins worth 260 billion tightly bind US debt. Will they all crash together? Anyway, my BTC is already ready for the dip. The so-called prophet has been proven wrong multiple times, but his move to reduce gold holdings is quite worth learning from. Still thinking Bitcoin will become independent? Fooling yourself. Even if his father dies, he’ll still be buried with it. Now is the time to either add to positions or hold back... this is the most tangled situation.

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BrokenRugs

· 6h ago

Rogers is starting to be bearish again, but this time something really feels off. The executives' cash-out actions are too obvious; this is the most genuine signal. Stablecoins tied to US bonds? When they all blow up together, no one can escape. Waiting until 2026 is not an option; I'm starting to switch now. Bitcoin is becoming more and more like the stock market; this disaster is unavoidable.

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NFTFreezer

· 6h ago

Rogers is starting to talk down again, but honestly, the actions of the executives don't seem quite right. The big players are cashing out, which means they probably know something... The aftereffects of this liquidity wave will eventually have to be paid. If that 260 billion in stablecoins also collapses, crypto will be a total loss, no negotiations. I really can't leverage up anymore; cash is king now. --- Here comes another crisis prediction, but the data in front of us is indeed a bit frightening. --- Wait, is Bitcoin becoming more and more correlated with the US stock market? Then what are we using as independent assets... --- Even Huang Renxun is selling Nvidia, and we're still buying? Just thinking about it is terrifying. --- 2026 is the deadline? But it's not too late to start running now. --- The key is to plan asset allocation in advance; if the crisis really hits, it'll be too late. --- Looking at these data, Japan's debt ratio is already at 250%... We need to check our debt ratio quickly. --- Crypto has really become a transmission medium for the financial system; it can't remain isolated. --- Rogers' historical prediction record is right here; this time, his argument shouldn't be ignored.

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CantAffordPancake

· 6h ago

Rogers is starting to talk down again... but looking at the data this time, it's really a bit scary. The daily interest on 37 trillion in national debt has exceeded the limit. Executives are all rushing to cash out, this signal is too obvious. Stablecoins are tightly pegged to US debt, will they all explode together then? Bitcoin can't escape. I’d better hold some cash and precious metals; anyway, idle assets are of no use. If the 2026 crash really happens, only those with a low-profile allocation will profit. So the question is... if a crisis really hits, can we still buy the dip in crypto or will we all be buried together? Cut your positions early, don’t let the executives harvest the leeks. Wait, can we still enter precious metals now? Feels like everything is expensive.

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CryptoNomics

· 6h ago

actually if you run the correlation matrix on stablecoin flows vs treasury yield spreads you'd see the real problem isn't 2026, it's the endogenous feedback loop already baked into the system rn. most people don't understand token velocity dynamics enough to even frame this correctly tbh

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SerNgmi

· 6h ago

Rogers is starting to sound pessimistic again, but looking at these debt figures, it's really hard to hold on... That 250% in Japan is truly outrageous. Executives are all cashing out, the signals are too obvious. Huang Renxun's $900 million just up and leave. Stablecoins pegged to US debt? Once the US stock market crashes, crypto will have to go down with it. Wanting to stand alone is simply impossible. Is 2026 really that terrifying, or is it just another wolf coming? Instead of waiting for a crisis, why not stockpile silver now? Rogers is right about that.

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