#比特币价格走势 Seeing XRP oscillate repeatedly between $1.92 and $2.01, what flashes through my mind is that cycle from 2017. Back then, I also saw countless sideways consolidations—each time, someone would say "This time is different," and what happened? It still fell when it was supposed to, it still rebounded when it was supposed to. The pattern has never changed.

The current situation is quite intriguing. From a fundamental perspective, Ripple obtaining the national trust bank license is indeed a big deal, and continuous ETF inflows also indicate that institutions haven't given up. But this is precisely the paradox—good news is already reflected in the price, and now the market is digesting uncertainty. A 14% drop in a month and a 7.2% decline in a week—what does this rhythm tell us? It tells us that the market is still on the sidelines, still testing the bottom.

The key support level at $1.97 to $2.00, I see it as a life-and-death line. If it holds here, combined with increased trading volume, $2.20–$2.30 is not a dream. But if it breaks, then $1.80 or even lower, around $1.20–$1.30, could be possible. This is not alarmist talk; history has shown us that in every cycle, false breakouts often come first, and genuine rebounds usually appear last.

What is most tested now is patience. Many people can't wait and tend to flee when they can't see the direction clearly. But in my view, this is precisely the moment when history repeats itself—real opportunities are often hidden in the most cautious moments. The current sideways consolidation might just be the buildup for the next rally.