2025-12-31 12:23:49

Tonight at 3 a.m., the Federal Reserve meeting minutes will be released. I’ve set my phone alarm three times—it's a bit embarrassing to admit, but last time I was so busy watching the markets that I overslept and missed a key move, and I still regret it.

Why is this minute so important? Simply put, it’s a record of what Federal Reserve officials said after the meeting, revealing their true attitudes toward interest rates and inflation. The crypto market is especially sensitive to this: if the minutes lean hawkish (hinting at further rate hikes), funds tend to flow into the dollar and traditional assets, which could pressure Bitcoin; if they lean dovish (signaling a slowdown), risk assets may be chased, and Bitcoin could see a short-term rebound. The key point is, market reactions are never just passive numerical interpretations—they’re a game of "guessing the official’s intentions," which is why every release of the minutes becomes a hot topic.

But I have to pour some cold water on everyone: a liquidation wave is not something "destined," but a product of emotional outbursts.

Many people panic at the mention of "minutes + market volatility," fearing they’ll be "harvested." But the real cause of liquidations is never the news itself, but the "collective impatience" of participants.

In June last year, the minutes showed a hawkish stance, and Bitcoin dropped 5% that day—that’s a normal market reaction. Who actually got liquidated? Those who were chasing gains an hour before the minutes were released, betting that "bad news is good news." In February this year, the minutes signaled a dovish stance, and Bitcoin rose 8%. It sounds like good news, but those who hurried to close their positions when the gain reached 6% were the ones who got liquidated—they feared that "good news would turn into bad news."

Can you see the pattern? The real risk isn’t in the news itself, but in whether you can stay rational and avoid being swept up by emotions and market panic. Tonight’s key isn’t predicting the content of the minutes, but asking yourself if you’re truly prepared.

BTC-1,34%

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ShadowStaker

· 4h ago

nah, the real problem isn't the fed minutes—it's the leverage degenerates who can't resist overextending right before macro events. seen this movie too many times.

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AirdropHunterZhang

· 4h ago

The real winners are those who make big profits quietly. Let's just enjoy this summary as entertainment.

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LiquiditySurfer

· 4h ago

It's another three-point schedule, with the phone alarm keeping me on track. This time, I must stay awake and not oversleep. Set it three times, but still a bit uncertain. To be honest, whether hawkish or dovish doesn't matter; what's important is not to follow the trend blindly. Look at those brothers chasing the high; they leaked their positions before the official announcement, hilarious. Emotional outbursts are the real killers; news is just an excuse.

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FrogInTheWell

· 4h ago

I totally understand the feeling of oversleeping and missing the market—it's truly despairing... But to be honest, instead of setting the alarm three times, it's better to first figure out your risk tolerance—that's the key. Notes are just notes; hawkish or dovish are just pretenses. The real liquidations are those who rush in without proper stop-loss settings. It's 3 a.m., and I have to stay up late watching the market again. I feel like if this continues, my health will eventually break down.

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ForkInTheRoad

· 4h ago

Still staying up until 3 a.m. to read the minutes, these days are really tough haha Honestly, I just need to stay calm and not let the news scare me into making reckless moves

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