Crypto: The US Senate Prepares a Regulatory Turning Point for January 2026

Source: CoinTribune Original Title: Crypto: The US Senate Prepares a Regulatory Turning Point for January 2026 Original Link: https://www.cointribune.com/en/crypto-the-us-senate-prepares-a-regulatory-turning-point-for-january-2026/

In Brief

• The US Senate reviews in January 2026 the Responsible Financial Innovation Act, a major law to regulate cryptos.
• This bill aims to clarify the responsibilities between the SEC and the CFTC, promoting institutional adoption of bitcoin.
• A successful adoption could cause a 10 to 15% rise in BTC price and reassure investors.

The American Crypto Law Enters a Decisive Phase in January 2026

The US Senate Banking Committee is set to meet during the second week of January 2026 to review the Responsible Financial Innovation Act. This markup, or amendment session, is crucial for the bill’s adoption after months of delays due to political disagreements and the prolonged government shutdown in 2025.

Senators Cynthia Lummis and Tim Scott play a central role in this process. Lummis, who will not run again in 2026, was one of the main sponsors of the bill. The project, supported by Republicans, however requires bipartisan consensus to succeed. This step is essential to clarify the regulatory framework for digital assets in the United States—a major issue for investors and companies in the crypto sector.

Responsible Financial Innovation Act: Causes and Consequences on the Crypto Market

Crypto observers estimate the chances of the bill being passed in 2026 at 50-60%, a probability that will depend on negotiations between Democrats and Republicans. The disagreements mainly concern the regulation of decentralized finance (DeFi) and the distribution of responsibilities between the SEC and the CFTC.

The consequences for the crypto market are multiple. Adoption of the bill would clarify the legal framework, thus attracting institutional capital. Conversely, failure or further delays could prolong uncertainty, hindering innovation. Market players note that 70% of them are waiting for this regulation to secure their investments.

Bitcoin (BTC), the Favorite Crypto of the Responsible Financial Innovation Act?

Bitcoin, considered a commodity, would be directly favored by this law. The CFTC, which regulates commodities, would see its authority strengthened, benefiting BTC as the flagship digital asset. Analysts anticipate a 10 to 15% increase in its price in the weeks following the markup, thanks to an inflow of institutional capital.

This clear regulation could reassure hesitant crypto investors and boost demand. However, short-term volatility remains possible due to political uncertainties, especially with the November 2026 midterms. Bitcoin, already seen as a safe haven, would strengthen its position, consolidating its status as a market leader.

Conclusion

The January 2026 markup marks a turning point for cryptocurrency regulation in the United States. If the bill is passed, it could transform the crypto landscape, with winners like bitcoin. However, Senate negotiations and market reactions in the coming weeks will be decisive. One question remains open: Will this law be enough to reassure investors and stabilize the crypto market?