#加密行情预测 $ETH ‌

Ethereum Market Analysis (Short Squeeze Induction and Risk Warning) and Exit Point Report

1. Core Market Judgment

Currently, Ethereum (ETH) exhibits characteristics of “weak rebound + long-short struggle.” After surging to around $3100 at the beginning of 2026, it fell into a USD consolidation range due to factors such as whale sell-offs and technical suppression. This is essentially a technical correction after a decline rather than a trend reversal, with significant short squeeze induction risks. Although macroeconomic easing expectations and increased ecological staking volume provide some bullish support, profit-taking is concentrated above $3100 (up 50%), combined with downward trendline resistance. In the short term, there is a lack of sustained upward momentum, and the rebound may easily turn into a trap of induced buying.

2. Key Exit Points and Operational Logic

(1) Bullish Exit Points (Avoiding Induced Traps and Lock-in)

1. Active Take-Profit Zone: $3150-$3300. This is the core resistance zone. If a rebound reaches this range and shows declining volume or signs of resistance and pullback, exit immediately to avoid greedily chasing higher.
2. Forced Stop-Loss Point: Below $3060. This price is a critical support level. If broken, it will trigger a collapse of bullish confidence, likely dropping to $2788. Stop-loss decisively and exit.
3. Extreme Warning Point: If an unexpected surge to $3250 fails to break through effectively (not stabilizing for over 30 minutes + insufficient volume), it is regarded as an ultimate signal of induced buying. Exit regardless of profit or loss.

3. Risk Warning

- Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. The above points should be adjusted based on real-time trading volume and large on-chain transfer dynamics.
- Strictly control positions, avoid heavy bets on a single trend, and prioritize short-term range trading strategies.
- Keep a close eye on macro variables such as Federal Reserve policies and SEC regulatory movements. Unexpected news may invalidate these levels.

The chart from January 3rd already indicated the need to test 3158, then continue the short squeeze. When everyone thinks the market is reversing and retail investors start bottom-fishing, that’s when the waterfall drop begins!