#比特币价格走势 Once Polymarket data came out, I knew that the story of BTC breaking 100,000 this year was over 😅 with an 11% probability, which is basically saying "impossible."
On the other hand, the 95,000 level with a 32% probability seems more realistic, and market sentiment has indeed become polarized. From previously blindly bullish to now starting to do serious calculations, it shows that smart money is already adjusting their positions.
There is still a 24% chance of dropping below 80,000, which is the real risk to watch out for. These last few days of the year are prone to black swan events, so it's advisable to reduce positions first, lock in profits, and avoid greed. Playing with memes now is actually more exciting, at least you don't have to watch the market's mood every day 💰
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#比特币价格走势 Once Polymarket data came out, I knew that the story of BTC breaking 100,000 this year was over 😅 with an 11% probability, which is basically saying "impossible."
On the other hand, the 95,000 level with a 32% probability seems more realistic, and market sentiment has indeed become polarized. From previously blindly bullish to now starting to do serious calculations, it shows that smart money is already adjusting their positions.
There is still a 24% chance of dropping below 80,000, which is the real risk to watch out for. These last few days of the year are prone to black swan events, so it's advisable to reduce positions first, lock in profits, and avoid greed. Playing with memes now is actually more exciting, at least you don't have to watch the market's mood every day 💰