January 4, 2026 Daily Report

The most significant news in the past two days is that the United States directly arrested their President Maduro and his wife in Venezuela.

This has caused a huge uproar worldwide, attracting a lot of attention.

However, so far, this incident has not caused much impact on the risk markets; we will have to see the reaction after the US stock market opens on Monday.

Trump chose to act over the weekend, possibly to avoid working days and reduce market impact.

The market also prefers quick resolution, and this time Trump minimized uncertainty. After a weekend, everyone should be able to digest the situation gradually.

Now that the individuals have been detained, the main focus is whether it will escalate into a larger conflict.

This operation also demonstrates the US's strength in military, intelligence, and enforcement, which is a positive for American oil giants and defense contractors.

Trump stated that Maduro is now on a US military ship and did not rule out a second strike.

American oil companies will enter Venezuela, investing billions of dollars to repair severely damaged oil facilities and help the country generate revenue.

In fact, the US has been blocking Venezuelan oil tankers from entering and leaving since December, and their oil exports have already been suppressed a month ago.

Current restrictions are unlikely to push oil prices higher; instead, because Trump said the US will take over Venezuela's oil, prices might even fall. This is good for controlling inflation in the US.

After Maduro and his wife were detained, the Venezuelan government issued a protest to the United Nations and made four demands.

However, their statement did not mention Maduro and his wife at all, indicating that they have already been discarded.

The new government’s condemnation essentially proves that: without Maduro, the Venezuelan government can still operate.

This shows that the pro-American puppet regime Trump desires has officially taken power.

The key now is to confirm the new president of Venezuela.

Trump’s latest statement is actually directed at the Venezuelan Vice President and those with real power: “I just want to eliminate Maduro, not all of you. As long as you cooperate and obey, you can continue to govern.

This strategy of deterrence against the current ruling system and forcing cooperation can greatly reduce chaos, require less effort, and perhaps lead to a smooth transition. It remains to be seen if Trump’s move will work.

From on-chain data, BTC is currently oscillating around $90,000. Mainly, short-term profit-taking investors are selling, while early loss-making investors are not reacting much. Market sentiment remains relatively stable.

From the capital perspective, there has been a net inflow of funds into the market, increasing by 900 million in a single day, with a total of 311.9 billion.

Among them, USDT increased by 69 million, a modest net inflow, but it is the second consecutive day of net inflow.

USDC increased by 197 million, indicating that liquidity from US-based traders is returning, which is a positive sign for the market.

However, geopolitical risks are present, and we need to watch the reaction of the US stock market after it opens on Monday.

The coming week may not be peaceful, and short-term volatility could increase.