#比特币价格预测 Seeing this, I have to be honest. Tom Lee is calling for Bitcoin to hit 200,000 while his team says it might drop to 60,000. The scene is indeed quite heartbreaking. But think about it carefully, this actually reflects the biggest lesson I've learned over the years on the chain: different roles, different time cycles, should have different strategies.

The problem is, retail investors simply can't tell the difference. What we see is "experts contradicting themselves," then FOMOing and going all-in, or just completely clearing their positions. This is the perfect time to harvest the little guys — the more chaotic the market, the easier it is to be led by the rhythm.

The reality is, short-term defense and long-term bullishness are not mutually exclusive. Those doing risk management need to consider the drawdown risk in the first half of 2026—that's their responsibility. Judging the long cycle as upward long-term is also correct. But if you don't understand which cycle or risk level you're in, and just go all-in based on one voice, you're digging your own grave.

I've seen too many people confuse "prediction" and "strategy," ending up being cut from both sides. The key is to understand: are you aiming for long-term holding or short-term trading? How much drawdown can you tolerate? Don't just listen to the numbers; first, clarify your own risk tolerance. That’s the only way to survive longer.