#我的2026第一条帖 Crypto Daily(01.05)：Bitcoin prices under pressure, whale shorting intensifies, mining stocks diverge, and global holdings dynamics

1. Impact of Bitcoin price fluctuations on related companies' finances
Strategy company experienced a 24% decline in Bitcoin price in Q4 2025, facing billions of dollars in losses on approximately $60 billion worth of Bitcoin assets. Its enterprise value is close to falling below the value of its Bitcoin holdings, raising market concerns about potential sales of Bitcoin. To alleviate concerns, Strategy established cash reserves through common stock sales on December 1, with an expected full-year operational loss of $7 billion to a profit of $9.5 billion, assuming Bitcoin trading prices stay between $85,000 and $110,000.
2. Market behavior of whales shorting BTC and ETH
A whale that previously sold 255 BTC continues to increase short positions on BTC and ETH, using leverage of 10x and 15x respectively. Current holdings are 751.38 BTC and 12,909.15 ETH, with an overall unrealized loss exceeding $1.8 million.
3. 2025 Bitcoin mining stock market performance trend
Bitcoin mining stocks in 2025 show divergence, with companies like IREN, APLD, CIFR, which have agreements with ultra-large clients, achieving annual returns over 200%. Companies like HUT and WULF, which signed HPC contracts, have returns over 100%. Market preferences are tied to ultra-large-scale agreements and HPC/AI-related businesses. Pure Bitcoin miners generally perform poorly, with micro miners valued under $100M hit hardest. Hash rate size is not the decisive factor; execution visibility and investor information transmission are more important. For example, CleanSpark's stock price improved due to its transformation into HPC/AI business.
4. Bitfarms exits Latin American mining operations
After selling its Paraguay mining site, Bitfarms exited the Latin American market to focus on adjustments in other regional mining operations.
5. Global listed companies' Bitcoin holdings dynamics
As of January 4, 2026, the top 100 publicly listed BTC holding companies worldwide hold a total of 1,090,949 BTC. In the past 7 days, five companies increased their BTC holdings: Strategy added 1,229 BTC; Metaplanet_JP added 4,279 BTC; BitdeerOfficial increased by 1.6 BTC; bitcoinhodlco increased by 1 BTC; BTCS_SA increased by 0.988 BTC.
6. Cryptocurrency market analysis on January 4
On January 4, the cryptocurrency market rose by 2.07%, with a total market cap of $3.2 trillion. Main drivers include inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs (inflow of $500 million on January 2), positive market sentiment, and geopolitical hedging (U.S.-China tensions). Major coins performance: BTC up 2.06% to approximately $91,325, ETH up 1.40% to about $3,133, BNB up 1.27% to about $883, SOL up 2.62% to about $133, providing short-term support and resistance levels. Market sentiment is at 26 (fear). Total trading volume is about $7.6 billion. Altcoins saw some gains (e.g., CVX up 31%, BONK up 28%), but derivatives market remains cautious.
7. Robert Kiyosaki's market crash prediction and Bitcoin's safe-haven role
Author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," Robert Kiyosaki, warns of a potential historic crash in the global markets in 2026, attributed to the bursting of asset bubbles formed after 2008 due to quantitative easing, low interest rates, and excessive debt. Kiyosaki believes Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and independence from central banks, will become an important safe-haven asset amid declining fiat trust and inflation risks. He recommends holding assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and gold and silver.