2026-01-05 03:22:49

Recently, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anna Paulson's statements have caused quite a stir in the market. She set out a condition: if this year's economic data remains strong, inflation continues to decline, the labor market stays stable, and economic growth maintains around 2%, then there might be another rate cut before the end of the year.

Many people immediately interpret these words as a dovish signal, believing that the door to rate cuts has opened. But upon closer inspection, this rhetoric is actually problematic—full of "if" conditions.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

25 Likes

Reward
25
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

AirdropFatigue

· 01-08 02:40

With so many conditions, it feels like just saying "maybe"

View OriginalReply0

Layer2Observer

· 01-07 19:18

Filled with "if" promises, in plain terms, it's no promise at all. The market's interpretation this time really resembles getting excited and dancing at the sight of an additional clause.

View OriginalReply0

StopLossMaster

· 01-07 07:59

Filled with "if" then want to cut our leeks? Wake up, everyone.

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-addcaaf7

· 01-07 04:18

It's all "if if if," as if nothing was said.

View OriginalReply0

SignatureDenied

· 01-05 03:51

Starting to hype it up again, a bunch of ifs that can really fool people are truly impressive.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeTherapist

· 01-05 03:47

Ha, the "if" show is back again. The Federal Reserve is just fooling the retail investors. --- Rate cut door opens? Wake up, brother. It's all if, if, if. When the data slightly changes, they'll regret it. --- Promises filled with ifs, just listen and don't really bet on them. --- Economic data, inflation, employment—which one can meet expectations? The Federal Reserve is just telling a story. --- They said the same thing last year. And now they're doing it again. --- Feels like she's swinging wildly between "We have to cut rates" and "We might cut rates." --- Having too many conditions actually means nothing is decided. The game rules can change at any time. --- This is a typical "want both" statement. When the time comes, they'll turn their back and deny everything.

View OriginalReply0

WagmiWarrior

· 01-05 03:45

Listen to me, it's all just "if" statements. This set of talking points is outdated.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter007

· 01-05 03:42

Filled with "if" promises, just listen. If you truly believe them, you'll lose.

View OriginalReply0

rugged_again