As of 12:00 on January 5, 2026, the major negative news for MEME tokens today is concentrated in three areas: macro risk aversion intensification, regulatory and unlocking selling pressure, and capital and sentiment retreat. Combined with some inherent weaknesses of certain tokens, this increases the risk of sharp declines.

1. Major Negative News (by impact weight)

1. Macro Risk Aversion Surge (Most Critical)
- Trump’s “lightning strike” operation in Venezuela triggered geopolitical risks, leading funds to withdraw from high-volatility assets like MEME tokens and shift into safe-haven assets such as gold and Bitcoin, negatively impacting PEPE, SHIB, TRUMP, and other sentiment-driven tokens.
- Market fear index is 27, crypto derivatives risk index is 61 (high risk), funds are primarily flowing back into Bitcoin, while the Altcoin Season Index is only 39, indicating a lack of capital support for MEME tokens.
2. Regulatory and Compliance Pressure (Ongoing Negative)
- The US stablecoin regulation bill (effective July 2025) continues to ferment, with stricter compliance requirements, indirectly constraining liquidity and trading space for high-risk MEME tokens.
- TRUMP token is highly centralized (80% controlled by the team), facing criticism from politicians and markets. Its ambiguous boundary between politics and business raises compliance concerns, with ongoing selling pressure accumulation.
3. Whale Selling Pressure and Unlock Risks (Short-term Shock)
- PEPE, SHIB, and other tokens have low funding rates and high open interest, with whale profit-taking concentrated, hourly divergence signals, which could trigger chain reactions of liquidations and price crashes.
- PUMP faces a critical milestone on January 23 with $500 million in lawsuits; 41% of the team’s tokens unlocked on July 12; 98.6% of platform projects have exited, creating extremely high trust and selling pressure risks.
4. Narrative and Sentiment Retreat (Long-term Negative)
- MEME tokens lack fundamental support, with new narratives scarce, community discussion declining, and negative sentiment increasing. Funds are shifting from high-volatility MEME tokens to tokens with actual utility.
- On-chain data shows increasing net outflows from MEME exchanges, with investors selling off and exiting, exacerbating supply-demand imbalance and downward price pressure.

2. Additional Negative News for Key Tokens

- TRUMP: No new positive catalysts, whale selling pressure high, funding rates low, high open interest, prone to踩踏 (liquidation cascade).
- PEPE: After a 70% weekly gain in the short term, profit-taking is concentrated, hourly divergence signals, RSI overbought turning down, funding rates falling from high levels, clear selling pressure.
- SHIB: No sustained positive momentum after oversold rebound, meme sentiment waning, prone to secondary declines.

Trading and Risk Control Recommendations

- Prioritize short positions: Light short positions on PEPE, SHIB, TRUMP, PUMP, with strict stop-loss; if Bitcoin drops below 88,000, the probability of MEME tokens crashing further increases.
- Position management: Do not allocate more than 5% of total funds to a single token short position; beware of extreme volatility.