Bitcoin recently broke through the $91,000 mark, and behind this is actually a quiet transformation in market structure. If you look closely at the data, institutional investors (including various ETFs and publicly listed companies) now hold over 40% of the supply. Meanwhile, the US is pushing forward with the "Bitcoin Act," and combined with the tightening supply after the halving, these three forces are working together to drive the rally. Unlike the wild swings of the past, this upward trend appears more steady and orderly, indicating that crypto assets are evolving toward traditional financial assets.



The most direct reflection of institutional involvement is in the holding numbers. Out of the 21 million Bitcoins, institutions already hold about 8.96 million, accounting for 43%. Interestingly, early mined coins have gradually settled, with addresses like "Satoshi" that haven't moved in over ten years making up 10%, and approximately 11% of coins have been permanently lost. As a result, the truly circulating supply becomes even tighter. This change has profound implications: Bitcoin's price is increasingly approaching mining costs, and volatility is actually narrowing.

Future capital patterns may become even more critical. Once Hong Kong's stablecoin regulations are finalized, long-term capital such as retirement funds and sovereign wealth funds will have the opportunity to enter on a large scale. These funds buy Bitcoin not for short-term speculation but for asset allocation. When they make large purchases, they can create a "ballast" effect, providing market stability. Numerically, by the end of 2025, the scale of US spot Bitcoin ETFs is expected to reach $84 billion, roughly two-thirds of the size of gold ETFs, making it the main channel for institutional entry into the crypto market.

Policy is also evolving. In November 2025, the U.S. House of Representatives proposed the "Bitcoin Act," which could serve as a new catalyst. This bill allows taxpayers to pay taxes with Bitcoin and exempts capital gains tax. Essentially, it grants Bitcoin a semi-official status, far beyond the vague designation of "virtual assets" in the past. If the bill is passed and implemented, the recognition of Bitcoin will step up to a new level.

Overall, supply is tightening, institutions are continuously entering, and policies are gradually releasing positive signals. These factors combined support the major trend of Bitcoin evolving from a fringe asset to a macro allocation asset. Compared to the previous bull markets characterized by speculation, this rally is more solid in logic, and participants are more institutionalized.
BTC-2,92%
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HodlTheDoorvip
· 3h ago
Institutionalization is real, but I have to question the claim of stability and order... Isn't 91,000 still repeatedly hammered down? Let's wait until the US legislation is actually implemented, for now it's all speculative hype.
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FUD_Whisperervip
· 01-06 04:44
43% of institutional holdings indeed change the game, but don't forget that history tends to repeat itself. I'm convinced about the supply shortage, just worried about sudden policy shifts. If Hong Kong's stablecoin regulation really gets implemented, that would be a big deal. Pay taxes with Bitcoin? Uh, that sounds a bit far-fetched. Let's see if it actually happens before judging.
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staking_grampsvip
· 01-05 10:55
Institutions hold 43%? I was thinking, what can we retail investors still get, haha
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DegenDreamervip
· 01-05 10:51
Institutions buy the dip happily, but true retail investors are the eternal bagholders.
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ChainMaskedRidervip
· 01-05 10:44
Institutional big players are really quietly accumulating, and the 43% share indicates what... Isn't this laying the foundation for the next wave? Once Hong Kong's stablecoin regulation is implemented, the retirement funds will start to enter the market, and retail investors will have even less chance. Bitcoin has shifted from a speculative asset to a portfolio asset, and this logic is indeed much stronger than before, but it also means that days of wild surges and crashes may truly be over. If the bill passes and taxation and tax exemption are clarified, it will essentially legitimize Bitcoin, no longer a vague concept of virtual assets. To be honest, the mindset for entering the market now needs to be adjusted. It's not about gambling on short-term gains, but considering the long-term allocation logic.
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RugpullSurvivorvip
· 01-05 10:35
Institutions have bought the dip by 43%? This really isn't a retail playground anymore, haha.
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ForkYouPayMevip
· 01-05 10:32
Institutions are bottom-fishing our paradise, how funny
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MaticHoleFillervip
· 01-05 10:31
机构43%的持仓,这下真的不是散户的游戏了,压舱石效应一旦形成就很难翻车
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NFTRegretDiaryvip
· 01-05 10:31
Institutional bottom-fishing, policy support, and supply lock-in—these three strategies combined are truly unstoppable. 91,000 is just the beginning, brother.
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