2026-01-05 11:21:27

On the 50th day of this liquidation journey, I started organizing the trading data from this period.

Looking back at the past rhythm is quite interesting— the first ten days gradually recovered from a 50% loss, the second ten days also turned around after a 50% loss. The third cycle took even longer, spending a full twenty days to go from a 50% loss back to the principal line.

Now it's the fourth time, and ten days have already passed in a 50% loss state. Based on the previous pattern, does this mean we need to go through another twenty-day cycle to break even? An even more interesting question is— after returning to the principal, will the next goal be to truly achieve profitability?

Each cycle repeatedly tests a certain rhythm of the market, which also makes me rethink the importance of risk control and position management.

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DeadTrades_Walking

· 01-07 11:11

Another cut? This cycle is so predictable, it feels like repeating a curse. Break even, break even, break even every day. When will we finally start making real money? Twenty-day cycle? Bro, are you doing technical analysis or alchemy? Every time you say you'll rethink risk control, but next time you still go all in. We all get it. Fifty days, fifty days, still waiting for the next cut to come. I've seen this routine a hundred times.

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ProofOfNothing

· 01-05 23:22

Bro, this cycle feels a bit strange, halving, breaking even, halving, breaking even... It feels like running in place on a treadmill.

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MoneyBurner

· 01-05 11:51

Bro, this rhythm is off. Breaking even ≠ making money. Are you playing psychological games with the market? --- Cycle theory is unreliable; on-chain data is the truth. Don't be fooled by your own K-line. --- Still daring to continue after multiple halts? I’m impressed. How big is your heart? --- Fourth time? Bro, you should consider whether it's the market rhythm or your position management that’s the problem. --- Wait, what can 50 days of data tell us? The sample size is too small. --- Every time it turns around but still gets halted, I know this routine well. I’m a all-in hero myself. --- The real question is: will there be principal for the next cycle? --- Is your entry logic clear, or are you again testing the boundaries of chasing highs and bottom fishing? --- It looks like you've found a pattern, but the market’s biggest fear is people thinking they’ve found a pattern. --- Something’s off. Why does it always recover from a halt instead of skyrocketing directly? --- What about risk hedging? Playing with leverage like this will eventually blow up the account. --- 50 days, 50 days. Next year, we’ll still be talking about which cycle we’re on.

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ZeroRushCaptain

· 01-05 11:44

Ha, so this is the legendary "Weed Cycle Law," getting more and more familiar... Wait, you say you can profit by returning to the principal? Bro, your optimism is really daring, but I always feel that the next halving is already on the way. Four halvings in 50 days, I know this pattern too well—just need to burn my debit card as a sacrifice. By the way, your data organization is quite soothing, but the way it soothes is a bit... painful. It's really "risk control"—the four characters are easy to understand but hard to implement. Who hasn't experienced this dreamy feeling of getting back to break-even on the battlefield? I understand this cycle feeling, it's like repeatedly verifying how bad I am...

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SchrodingerWallet

· 01-05 11:44

Is this guy repeating the same mistake in trading? Halving, breaking even, halving again... has been four rounds of the cycle --- Wait, can he turn things around every time? Is that luck or is there really a strategy? --- Four margin calls in 50 days, that frequency is intense, need to reflect on this --- Is there such a thing as rhythm... in the market? Feels like just gambling on probabilities --- Just organizing data is useless, need to change the trading logic --- Another lesson from the market, still searching for "patterns" myself --- Breaking even ≠ profit, overthinking, brother --- If this continues, the principal will be eaten up by trading fees --- Why do I always feel that the next time will be different?... --- Risk control? Easy to say, hard to do

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HalfBuddhaMoney

· 01-05 11:43

This cycle is really incredible, cut in half - break even - cut in half - break even, like opening a blind box. Wait, this cycle pattern feels a bit strange, every time you break even, you have to pay a price. Honestly, from a cut in half to the principal, is that considered a win? Isn't our goal profit? A cycle every twenty days... it feels like gambling on probabilities, what about risk control? Doing this repeatedly, how much do we have to lose before actually turning a profit?

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PumpingCroissant

· 01-05 11:32

I just want to ask, it's been over half a month of back-and-forth, why not learn something? --- It's either a cut in half or a cycle, can we really grasp the pattern? I find it doubtful. --- Wait, no, this is the fourth time being cut in half, could it be that this cycle has been broken? --- Honestly, repeating the same dead end is a bit hopeless. --- Hold on, are you so sure that the next twenty days will turn things around? --- This move is a bit like betting on the market rhythm with your principal. --- Four cuts in half already, feels like going against the market. --- What about risk control? Position management? Why do I keep paying tuition repeatedly? --- Every time I wait to break even before thinking about profit, isn't that a flawed approach? --- If this cycle continues, when will it ever end?

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