Struggling with losing money despite predicting the market correctly? This vicious cycle has troubled me for a long time.
I once lost 800,000 in half a year. Ironically, my market direction judgment during that period was actually correct. Only after carefully reviewing my trade history did I realize—the problem wasn't with the market itself, but with the unseen traps I fell into in contract trading.
**Trap 1: Greed at the Entry Point**
I would go all-in as soon as the market started moving. It sounds brave, but in reality, it creates opportunities for the big players. They often generate false signals at the beginning of a trend, using a quick reverse K-line to wipe out greedy retail traders. After being swept out, I looked back and saw the market indeed moved in the direction I predicted. But I had already been liquidated.
**Trap 2: Rigid Stop-Loss Strategies**
A fixed 3% stop-loss sounds scientific, but in highly volatile Bitcoin contracts, it becomes ineffective. The market makers know where retail traders set their stop-losses. In a high-volatility market, a single false breakdown can sequentially wipe out these "transparent" stops. I was swept three times in a week by fake breakdowns, losing not just my principal but also my mental state. Eventually, the market did surge in the direction of my analysis, but I was already out.
**Trap 3: Extreme Position Management**
Going all-in with a single trade seems efficient, but in reality, it leaves life and death to a single K-line. No matter how correct your directional judgment is, it can't withstand counter-movements. That night, I watched my account balance drop from hundreds of thousands to zero, and only then did I truly understand the importance of risk control.
**Three Principles of Reversal**
After that, I completely changed my strategy. First, never be fully invested. Divide a trade into three parts to leave room for adjustments and adding positions. Staying alive is more important than making quick money. Second, stop-loss isn't a fixed value but should be flexibly adjusted according to market volatility. This makes the big players' sweep strategies ineffective. Third, the simplest but hardest to do—when the market is unclear, stay in cash and wait.
By following these rules for a year, my account tripled. Not because I became a trading genius, but because I survived longer and reduced unnecessary liquidations.
In the crypto world, the real winners are never those who predict the correct direction most accurately, but those who can survive until the end. I paid my tuition of 80,000 to learn this lesson.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
PuzzledScholar
· 01-08 10:14
The full position all-in story is really a blood, sweat, and tears history. Now that I see I was right, I feel even more anxious.
---
80,000 yuan in tuition fees for the chance to live until the end—this deal is worth it.
---
Setting a stop loss at a fixed point is like giving money to the market makers. It's not too late to understand this.
---
Why do I feel like I'm the unlucky one who got swept three times? Haha.
---
The phrase "those who can survive until the end" hits hard. I'm still playing the full position game now.
---
Splitting into three parts sounds simple, but actually doing it is really difficult. It's too easy to slip and go all-in.
---
Holding a cash position when the market is unclear sounds easy, but if the fear doesn't hurt your principal, you won't be able to stick to it.
View OriginalReply0
MetaMuskRat
· 01-07 11:23
Damn, paying 800,000 in tuition must be painful, but it's true — only by living can you make money.
View OriginalReply0
SmartContractPlumber
· 01-05 11:50
The part about going all-in makes me want to curse. It's as outrageous as the permission control of some deflationary tokens. Risk control is not a weakness; it's hardware. Without it, the entire system is like having a reentrancy vulnerability.
View OriginalReply0
ThatsNotARugPull
· 01-05 11:44
Damn, this is my blood, sweat, and tears from half a year ago, the kind of despair where a single K-line wipes everything out...
Going all-in is truly poison; even if you choose the right direction, you still might die.
I have deep experience with the main force sweeping orders; setting fixed stop-losses is just giving away money.
Being alive is more important than anything else, this sentence is worth 800,000.
This trick of using a third of the position really saved me; finally, I don't have to watch the market every day with a exploding mentality.
Tripling your investment isn't a big deal; the key is avoiding the nightmare of going from hundreds of thousands to zero.
Even when you pick the right direction, you still lose money. Honestly, it's greed plus bad operations.
View OriginalReply0
BanklessAtHeart
· 01-05 11:30
Seeing it right or losing money, this is really incredible... I've been through it too, going all-in and dropping from heaven to hell in an instant.
Living longer is the key, this guy is right. Compared to guessing the right direction, only those who survive until the end can laugh last.
Fixed stop-loss is just giving away money; the market maker is just waiting for your 3%.
I’m now using the method of opening positions in batches, much more comfortable than going all-in before.
Wait, tripling the investment... are you sure this isn’t just hindsight bias? Or does it really have this effect?
80,000 yuan in tuition fees is quite harsh, but it seems worth it for living longer.
View OriginalReply0
HallucinationGrower
· 01-05 11:25
Full position all-in is indeed a suicidal trade; I've also fallen into that trap. But this guy's 800,000 yuan in tuition is worth it.
---
Getting the right direction and still losing money, I understand this so well. Basically, it's about mentality + position size; a poor mindset can really ruin everything.
---
The phrase "Never go all-in" hits home. The logic that you can only make money if you're alive makes perfect sense.
---
I can't help but chuckle a little at the part where it was fake breakdowns three times in a row... The market makers really treat retail investors like transparent.
---
Tripling your investment isn't about genius; it's about surviving longer. That's the most heartbreaking truth in the crypto world.
---
The logic chain of the account owner is clear; much more honest than those who boast about seeing the right direction.
---
Fixed stop-losses really are giving the main players an easy meal; you need to learn to adapt flexibly to high volatility, or you'll just get eaten up.
---
Half a year, 800,000 yuan... this tuition is indeed expensive, but the experience gained might be worth that price. The key question is, did you really make it back later?
---
"Living longer" is such a core concept; so many people get wiped out in a wave of pullback.
Struggling with losing money despite predicting the market correctly? This vicious cycle has troubled me for a long time.
I once lost 800,000 in half a year. Ironically, my market direction judgment during that period was actually correct. Only after carefully reviewing my trade history did I realize—the problem wasn't with the market itself, but with the unseen traps I fell into in contract trading.
**Trap 1: Greed at the Entry Point**
I would go all-in as soon as the market started moving. It sounds brave, but in reality, it creates opportunities for the big players. They often generate false signals at the beginning of a trend, using a quick reverse K-line to wipe out greedy retail traders. After being swept out, I looked back and saw the market indeed moved in the direction I predicted. But I had already been liquidated.
**Trap 2: Rigid Stop-Loss Strategies**
A fixed 3% stop-loss sounds scientific, but in highly volatile Bitcoin contracts, it becomes ineffective. The market makers know where retail traders set their stop-losses. In a high-volatility market, a single false breakdown can sequentially wipe out these "transparent" stops. I was swept three times in a week by fake breakdowns, losing not just my principal but also my mental state. Eventually, the market did surge in the direction of my analysis, but I was already out.
**Trap 3: Extreme Position Management**
Going all-in with a single trade seems efficient, but in reality, it leaves life and death to a single K-line. No matter how correct your directional judgment is, it can't withstand counter-movements. That night, I watched my account balance drop from hundreds of thousands to zero, and only then did I truly understand the importance of risk control.
**Three Principles of Reversal**
After that, I completely changed my strategy. First, never be fully invested. Divide a trade into three parts to leave room for adjustments and adding positions. Staying alive is more important than making quick money. Second, stop-loss isn't a fixed value but should be flexibly adjusted according to market volatility. This makes the big players' sweep strategies ineffective. Third, the simplest but hardest to do—when the market is unclear, stay in cash and wait.
By following these rules for a year, my account tripled. Not because I became a trading genius, but because I survived longer and reduced unnecessary liquidations.
In the crypto world, the real winners are never those who predict the correct direction most accurately, but those who can survive until the end. I paid my tuition of 80,000 to learn this lesson.