This week's key theme is "Data Bombardment." A series of macroeconomic indicators are about to be released, each of which could rewrite the fate of the crypto market. Instead of blindly watching the charts and speculating, it's better to clarify your thinking in advance.
**Early Week: Korea Visit + ISM Data** Monday kicks off with some drama. News of Korean officials visiting China may create small ripples in the East Asian sector, but don't read too much into it. More concrete is the US ISM Manufacturing Index released that evening — this thing determines the dollar's direction. Weak data means the dollar is under pressure, giving Bitcoin some breathing room; conversely, strong data is bearish.
**Tuesday: CES Tech Conference** Topics like AI, VR, and the Metaverse will dominate the screens. The market loves to tag these concepts with blockchain, creating opportunities for small-cap tokens to hype up. Especially tokens related to AI or storage sectors are likely to be favored by capital.
**Wednesday and Thursday: Pre-Employment Data** Wednesday's ADP employment report( is a preview of Friday's big Non-Farm Payrolls. Thursday features jobless claims and European economic indicators in succession. These data reflect the risk of economic recession — if signals of a hard landing appear, all risk assets) including cryptocurrencies( will first collapse.
**Friday: The Ultimate Boss Day** China's CPI shows deflationary pressure. If the number is too low, it may signal policy stimulus, and expectations of liquidity easing could boost market sentiment. This is a vague positive.
But the real decisive factor is the US Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate. They are the weather vane for whether the Fed will continue to cut interest rates. The logic is simple: strong employment data → no reason for the Fed to cut rates hastily → bearish for crypto; weak data → expectations of rate cuts rise → short-term rebound possible but long-term recession fears grow. The market is likely to play out the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario — sideways or small rallies before the data release, then a sharp sell-off if the actual figures don't meet expectations.
**Trading Strategy Suggestions** Control risk early in the week, watch more and trade less. If your position is heavy, consider reducing it moderately during rebounds. Avoid opening high-leverage new positions on Wednesday and Friday nights before the data — the risk of sudden volatility is too high.
Keep a close eye on BTC and ETH. If they can't hold steady, mainstream coins will also fall. Once Bitcoin breaks key support levels, all altcoins in the market will lose their luck.
The core focus this week is fighting against the Fed's rate cut expectations. Be prepared for volatility, but also don't miss trading opportunities after the data is released.
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RugpullTherapist
· 01-08 11:19
Data bombardment week again, another round of psychological torment...
It's non-farm payroll and CPI again, feels like it's always the same routine.
If BTC and ETH can't hold steady, all my altcoins will be sacrificed.
This week, I should reduce my positions first to preserve my life. Why chase after AI concept coins?
View OriginalReply0
OnchainUndercover
· 01-08 04:25
It's another non-farm week, I knew these two numbers would drive me crazy to death.
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MetaverseHobo
· 01-08 00:29
Another week of buying the rumor and selling the news—this trick is getting old.
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BearWhisperGod
· 01-05 11:54
Another week of data bombardment. This time, the non-farm payrolls will definitely follow the usual "buy the rumor, sell the news" trick. I bet five dollars that on Friday, it will once again cause a sell-off.
View OriginalReply0
Layer3Dreamer
· 01-05 11:53
theoretically speaking, if we model the fed's rate decision as a recursive state verification problem, this whole "buy the rumor, sell the fact" cycle becomes basically just cross-chain slippage on a macro scale... the non-farm payroll data isn't really data, it's more like a zero-knowledge proof of market sentiment tbh
Reply0
TestnetNomad
· 01-05 11:50
Another week of data bombardment. I'm already numb. Anyway, just see if the non-farm payrolls will crash the market or not.
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AllInDaddy
· 01-05 11:49
Another week of data bombardment. This time, the non-farm payroll data is truly exceptional, feeling like a life-or-death decision.
View OriginalReply0
Blockwatcher9000
· 01-05 11:46
Here we go again with this set, data bombardment just bombard away, I’ve already been out of the market anyway, watching the show is the most enjoyable.
Damn it, if the non-farm payrolls on Friday go against my expectations again, I’ll just dump the market.
The AI concept coins will probably go crazy on CES day, but I’ve learned my lesson, chasing highs is just giving away money.
The most critical thing this week is whether Bitcoin can hold its ground. If it breaks the key level, it’s really all over, and no altcoins will survive.
Don’t be too optimistic about the rate cut expectations; I’ve been playing the buy-the-anticipation, sell-the-fact routine for two years, and I’ve always paid the price.
Reduce some positions before Wednesday, don’t leverage so heavily, liquidation is too painful.
View OriginalReply0
OvertimeSquid
· 01-05 11:37
Another week of data hell. Should I just turn off the market software directly?
View OriginalReply0
0xSherlock
· 01-05 11:34
Here comes another data week bomb. The last time the Federal Reserve did this, it was a direct dream crusher.
Before non-farm payrolls, everyone wants to go long for quick profits. Just wait and see, it's the old trick of "诱多再砸盘" (诱多再砸盘).
If BTC can't hold up, the altcoins in your hand are just paper money.
Reduce positions, reduce positions. Don't be greedy for that little rebound; the risk is too damn high.
CES is again hyping AI concepts? I think we'll see the outcome by Friday. Everything else is just虚的 (虚的).
The rate cut expectation hasn't even materialized yet, and everyone is excited. This time, it's definitely "buy the expectation, sell the fact," which is too classic.
Look more, act less. I won't open new leverage anymore. I was爆过一次 (爆过一次) last time, and this time I learned to be smart.
This week's key theme is "Data Bombardment." A series of macroeconomic indicators are about to be released, each of which could rewrite the fate of the crypto market. Instead of blindly watching the charts and speculating, it's better to clarify your thinking in advance.
**Early Week: Korea Visit + ISM Data**
Monday kicks off with some drama. News of Korean officials visiting China may create small ripples in the East Asian sector, but don't read too much into it. More concrete is the US ISM Manufacturing Index released that evening — this thing determines the dollar's direction. Weak data means the dollar is under pressure, giving Bitcoin some breathing room; conversely, strong data is bearish.
**Tuesday: CES Tech Conference**
Topics like AI, VR, and the Metaverse will dominate the screens. The market loves to tag these concepts with blockchain, creating opportunities for small-cap tokens to hype up. Especially tokens related to AI or storage sectors are likely to be favored by capital.
**Wednesday and Thursday: Pre-Employment Data**
Wednesday's ADP employment report( is a preview of Friday's big Non-Farm Payrolls. Thursday features jobless claims and European economic indicators in succession. These data reflect the risk of economic recession — if signals of a hard landing appear, all risk assets) including cryptocurrencies( will first collapse.
**Friday: The Ultimate Boss Day**
China's CPI shows deflationary pressure. If the number is too low, it may signal policy stimulus, and expectations of liquidity easing could boost market sentiment. This is a vague positive.
But the real decisive factor is the US Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment rate. They are the weather vane for whether the Fed will continue to cut interest rates. The logic is simple: strong employment data → no reason for the Fed to cut rates hastily → bearish for crypto; weak data → expectations of rate cuts rise → short-term rebound possible but long-term recession fears grow. The market is likely to play out the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario — sideways or small rallies before the data release, then a sharp sell-off if the actual figures don't meet expectations.
**Trading Strategy Suggestions**
Control risk early in the week, watch more and trade less. If your position is heavy, consider reducing it moderately during rebounds. Avoid opening high-leverage new positions on Wednesday and Friday nights before the data — the risk of sudden volatility is too high.
Keep a close eye on BTC and ETH. If they can't hold steady, mainstream coins will also fall. Once Bitcoin breaks key support levels, all altcoins in the market will lose their luck.
The core focus this week is fighting against the Fed's rate cut expectations. Be prepared for volatility, but also don't miss trading opportunities after the data is released.